ECMN25 Program

 

#ECMN25

Day 1

Day 2

Day 3

Afternoon: IDOS Networking Event

Morning: Arrival and Registration, Opening Plenary, Parallel Presentation Session (P1)

Afternoon: Parallel Workshop Session (W1), Parallel Workshop Session (P2)

Morning: Parallel Presentation Sessions (P3, P4)

AfternoonParallel Workshop Session (W2), Parallel Workshop Session (P5)

EveningConference Dinner

MorningParallel Presentation Sessions (P6, P7)

AfternoonParallel Presentation Session (P8), Closing Plenary

Pre-conference | MONDAY 7 July

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16:00 - 19:30

Gustav Stresemann Institute

IDOS Networking event 

 

An opportunity to connect with fellow attendees and may be of particular interest to early career researchers and those new to the climate mobilities field and ECMN.

More info and to join the waitlist: ECMN25 x IDOS Networking Event

Special thanks to IDOS for hosting and sponsoring this excellent networking and social event!

Day 1 | TUESDAY 8 July

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8:30 - 9:30

Evangelischer Kirchenkreis

Adenauerallee 37, 53113 Bonn

Foyer vom Konferenzraum

Registration and Welcome Coffee

We encourage all attendees to arrive in good time to enjoy a welcome coffee and be seated promptly for the opening plenary session at 09:30. 

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9:30 – 11:00

Evangelischer Kirchenkreis

Adenauerallee 37, 53113 Bonn

Saal zweigeteilt, with additional seating in the Empore

Opening Plenary

Introductory remarks and two keynote addresses
  • Welcome address, Prof. Dr. Xiaomeng ShenVice-Rector in Europe, Director of United Nations University – Institute for Environment and Human Security (UNU-EHS) and Dr. Kees van der Geest, head of the Environment & Migration Division at UNU-EHS and ECMNetwork convener.

Keynote Addresses:

Prof. Dr. Andrew Baldwin, Durham University

 

Dr. Bina Desai, United Nations Research Institute for Social Development (UNRISD)

Climate mobility: a politically seductive but analytically weak concept

Are we building knowledge—or building consensus around a shaky concept? What if the terms and concepts we use do more harm than good? We are building an entire research and institutional ecosystem around the concept of climate mobility. But the notion, in most instances, is analytically weak—and yet politically seductive. This keynote challenges the rise of “climate mobility” as a catch-all phrase shaping research agendas, media stories, and policy frameworks. It explores how we, as researchers, might be complicit in manufacturing narratives that prioritize simplicity over truth. Rather than offering alternative labels, it calls for radical clarity, disciplinary confidence, and an unapologetic embrace of nuance in the face of growing conceptual ambiguity

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11:00 - 11:30

Evangelischer Kirchenkreis

Coffee Break

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11:30 – 13:00

Parallel presentation session (p1)

4 parallel sessions made up of 3 – 4 presentations.
Each panelist takes the floor for 10 minutes, followed by 40 minutes of Q&A.

P1A

CLIMATE (IM) MOBILITY DRIVERS

Modelling Drivers of (im)mobility

Session chaired by:

Els Bekaert

Ghent University

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11:30 - 13:00

Konferenzraum

Deciphering Climate-Mobility Links: How patterns vary across altitude areas in the Metropolitan City of Turin

Presenter: Daniela M.Yáñez, IUSS Pavia & Gran Sasso Science Institute (GSSI)

Abstract

Global discussions increasingly emphasise the consequences of climate change for human mobility. While existing research has yielded diverse findings depending on the chosen climate indicator, migration pattern, or study area, the interpretation of the role played by climate change in migration trends remains insufficiently explored. Furthermore, the literature’s predominant focus on the Global South raises the question of whether similar dynamics apply in the Global North. Using the Metropolitan City of Turin as a case study, this paper aims to determine to what extent people have migrated to areas less affected by heat and drought. Employing a tri-dimensional conceptual framework, this study draws on residential data from 2006 to 2022, along with summer temperature, precipitation, and humidity anomalies, to reveal correlations and visualise spatial variations between lowland and mountainous municipalities. The bivariate mapping and fixed-effects regression model show that rising temperatures are significantly associated with outmigration trends in the study area. Additionally, severe drought and excessive moisture scenarios correlate with a prevalence of outbound mobility. The results also underline that climate change factors have a stronger relationship with residential mobility in low-altitude areas, while the nexus between them is less clear in the highlands. This study provides novel evidence of climate-mobility links in a less-studied geographical area while offering a new perspective on the diversity of emerging mobility patterns in low and high-altitude territories – essential for effective adaptation strategies and long-term resilience.

Climate-related rural-to-urban migration: Empirical evidence on the economic drivers in low-and middle-income countries 

Presenter: Sarah Lohr, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)

Abstract

Climate has been shown to influence migration, yet the mechanisms through which climate events lead to migration as well as the heterogeneous effects on different population groups remain poorly understood. This study addresses these gaps by exploring two key questions: (i) Who are the rural climate migrants in low- and middle-income countries? and (ii) Why do they migrate?. We examine changes in consumption levels and inequalities as potential mechanisms linking climate events to migration, employing the Roy-Borjas model to explain the self-selection of climate migrants based on
skills and wealth. Using ERA5 weather data combined with 45,000 household observations from South Africa, Tanzania, Malawi, and China over two to four years, our fixed-effects models reveal that rising temperatures and declining precipitation drive rural-to-urban migration by reducing rural consumption and increasing consumption inequality. Our findings indicate that less educated individuals from middle-income households are more likely to migrate in response to climate events. These results underscore the heterogeneous effects of climate change on different population groups and highlight the need to (i) better understand the impacts of climate migration on affected households and (ii) develop targeted support for vulnerable populations who may become trapped by liquidity constraints.

Climate change and migration in the MENA region 

Presenter: Kamal Zehraoui, Hassan II University

Abstract

Mobility has long been a key survival strategy, shaped by economic opportunities, environmental pressures, and socio-political factors. In recent years, the link between climate change and migration has gained increasing attention, particularly in the MENA region, where environmental challenges are intensifying. This study explores the relationship between climate change and migration using panel data from 1990 to 2023 and advanced econometric techniques. Contrary to common assumptions, our findings indicate that the direct effects of climate change on migration are not statistically significant. Instead, socio-economic factors such as GDP, mortality rates, rural population dynamics, and agricultural land use play a more decisive role in shaping migration patterns. These results underscore the necessity of a multidimensional approach that extends beyond environmental determinants. By integrating economic, social, and environmental perspectives, this study provides a deeper understanding of climate-induced migration and advocates for comprehensive policy responses to address migration challenges in the MENA region.

P1B

DIVERSE CLIMATE (IM)MOBILITIES

Planned Relocation I – Decisions

Session chaired by:

Friedrich Neu

University of Freiburg

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11:30 - 13:00

Saal zweigeteilt (1)

Governance Obstacles to the Strategic Resettlement of U.S. Coastal Communities threatened by Sea Level Rise: A Case Study of Monroe County, Florida, U.S.

Presenter: Jason Wilson, Alfa Mobility

Abstract

The local governments of coastal communities at-risk of inundation from climate-induced sea level rise are tasked with the difficult responsibility of balancing their legal, fiscal, and administrative obligations while accurately assessing and appropriately responding to this impending hazard. The following is an assessment of the coastal vulnerability, adaptation policy, and adaptive capacity of Monroe County, Florida in the context of sea level rise. The focus of this assessment is the evaluation of the climate adaptation policy of Strategic Resettlement as a means of reducing the vulnerability of the County. Popular themes within the discourses of environmental migration, mobility, climate science, federal disaster relief policy, land-use development, coastal vulnerability, climate adaptation, law, and governance are explored. The results produced are tailored policy recommendations for the County to critically reflect upon, draw inspiration from, and potentially utilize. The goal of this thesis is to contribute to the existing academic knowledge of mobility as a means of climate adaptation and the discourse of Strategic Resettlement.

Retreat as an adaptation option to sea level rise in Europe 

Presenter: Ilona Bontenbal, LUT university

Abstract

Among scholars there is consensus that retreat will be the only viable solution for some areas impacted by climate change and sea level rise, at least in the long run. However, acceptance of retreat as an adaptation strategy requires a significant shift in perception from the more widely accepted strategies, which tend to underscore notions of “never retreat” and “building back” (Siders 2019; Gornitz et al., 2020, 19; Gaul 2019). Politically, and socially, retreat is highly contested as it is often equated with defeat. Because retreat is an unpopular option, policy makers and governments have been slow to consider it as a viable adaption strategy to climate change. As a result, preparedness for retreat remains rudimentary.
While the barriers to retreat have been studied in various contexts at a general level (Koubi et al., 2016; Bohra-Mishra et al., 2014; Mueller et al., 2014; Massey et al. 2010; Mortreux & Barnett 2009; Song & Peng 2017), there remains a significant gap in research as to the specific social, economic, and political barriers to retreat in a European context. Drawing on ongoing fieldwork in Portsmouth (UK), Venice (Italy), and the Wadden sea islands (the Netherlands), we investigate from a social acceptability perspective how local citizens and policy makers, in three coastal contexts in Europe susceptible the sea level rise, perceive retreat as an adaptation option to sea level rise. Our analysis is based on interviews with locals, policy makers, and experts.

Climate-related partial relocation in Fiji impacts the wellbeing of those who relocated and those who stayed differently

Presenter: Ann-Christine Link, UNU-EHS

Abstract

TBC

P1C

REPRESENTATIONS

Contemporary Narratives

Session chaired by:

Elena Giacomelli

University of Bologna 

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11:30 - 13:00

Clubraum

Framing Climate Migration: How Narrative Complexity Affects Public Acceptance in Germany and New Zealand

Presenter: Max Burger, Philipps University, Marburg

Abstract

Climate change increasingly threatens lives and livelihoods worldwide and is projected to drive cross-border migration in the future. Because climate mobility remains an emerging policy challenge, both public attitudes and formal regulations are still evolving. While previous studies have examined economic, political, and climate-related drivers of migrant acceptance in isolation, real-world migration decisions are shaped by interconnected factors. Yet, public narratives often favor simplified explanations over nuanced accounts that reflect migration’s complexity.

In this study, we investigate how different communication strategies—ranging from climate change–only narratives to more complex accounts that also include local environmental degradation and economic pressures—affect host-community acceptance of climate migrants. We conducted a pre-registered online survey experiment in Germany (N=1,048) and New Zealand (N=810), where participants evaluated migration scenarios featuring fictional individuals from Bangladesh (Germany) and Tuvalu (New Zealand). Scenarios varied in two ways: (1) whether migration was attributed solely to climate change or also to environmental and economic factors, and (2) whether migrants were described as attempting in-situ adaptation before migrating.

We find that complex narratives shift causal attributions toward local processes in migrants’ home countries—a factor typically linked to greater rejection—yet do not significantly reduce acceptance. In Germany, highlighting adaptation efforts increases acceptance within the climate change narrative.

Our findings contribute to the debate on legal and policy frameworks for climate migration by shedding light on how different framings influence public acceptance.

From Stories to Statistics: Narratives and Evidence on Climate Migration

Presenter: Christoph Deuster, European Commission – Joint Research Centre

Abstract

In recent decades, several common narratives on climate migration emerged. Examples include ‘alarmist’ and ‘crisis’ narratives, according to which climate change will trigger mass and unstoppable migration from less to more developed countries. Similarly, the ‘problem’ narrative characterises migration as inherently problematic. As a somewhat inverse concept, the ‘migration-as-adaptation’ narrative displays migration simply as a proactive and often desirable process of adaptation. And according to the ‘simplicity’ narrative, it is generally trivial to establish causal relationships between the effects of climate change and migration. In light of this variety of narratives and the complexity of climate-related mobility, this paper aims to focus on the evidence base on climate migration. It attempts to check common narratives on climate migration against existing databases. In particular, the paper uses evidence from the Gallup World Poll, a representative survey conducted regularly in a large number of countries worldwide, which includes a dedicated question on environmental mobility. The data analysis reveals how narratives on climate migration are inaccurate and misleading. Rather than supporting the causal attribution of millions of potentially dangerous international migrants from the Global South to specific climate variables, the evidence points to complex and context-specific links between environmental factors and human mobility as well as potential voluntary and involuntary immobility in all regions of the world. The paper concludes with a number of specific policy recommendations.

Drought, conflict and displacement: Cultural and institutional narratives on Syria’s ‘climate war’ 

Presenter: Sophia Brown, Durham University, Department of Geography

Abstract

In 2014, an academic discourse began on how a prolonged drought in Syria, attributed to climate change, caused extensive rural-to-urban migration, directly contributing to the war. Significant media attention ensued, with recurrent references to Syria’s ‘climate refugees’. Much of this continuing debate focuses on the role of drought in driving conflict and displacement, without reflecting on the larger political questions of what ends this focus serves. There are now notable interventions demonstrating how the ‘climate war’ narrative problematically asserts Orientalist and determinist explanations of climate-induced migration and overlooks historical and political factors (Ahuja, 2021; Daoudy, 2020; Hoffmann 2018; Selby et al, 2017). This paper compares cultural and institutional narratives addressing climate change and migration in relation to Syria, particularly those espousing progressive or radical politics. I look at fiction, memoirs, graphic novels and essays by authors including Omar El Akkad, Samar Yazbek and Andreas Malm, many of which incorporate necessary critiques of colonialism and violence, while also gesturing towards the ‘climate war’ narrative. I then look at institutional texts, such as advocacy and policy material produced by organisations including Greenpeace and the Climate and Migration Coalition, which also often undercut their own nuanced perspectives by incorporating problematic assumptions about Syria. Ultimately, I argue that the ‘climate war’ narrative foreshadows ongoing discussions on climate change and conflict, where inevitably mobility becomes part of an often fraught conversation – one that frequently, even within progressive circles, diminishes the power dynamics and racial politics inherent to the discourse on climate change and migration.

The role of focusing events in climate-mobility nexus agenda-setting… 

Presenter: Jodie van de Riet, PRINTEMPS Laboratory (UVSQ/CNRS)

Abstract

Peru and Colombia have historically had high levels of internal and cross-border mobility and are among the most vulnerable countries in Latin America to climate change. Floods, droughts, rising sea levels, and deforestation directly affect livelihoods, leading to increasing numbers of people moving. The literature suggests that in both countries, the climate-mobility nexus has gradually appeared in various public policy sectors (climate change adaptation, disaster risk management, environmental protection, territorial management, migration, and development policies), with climate change being emphasized after the issues related to the La Niña phenomenon in 2010-2011.
Our research question explores the influence of focusing events (Birkland, 1984; 2013; Kingdon, 1997) on the agenda setting of policies addressing the climate-mobility nexus.
The methodology lies in the analysis of public policy instruments, complemented by semi-structured interviews with policy makers and non-state actors. The comparison of national levels facing similar events will allow for the identification of their implications as well as the key actors involved in policy design and implementation, thus enabling an understanding of the impact of such events on decision-making and the circulation of knowledge and expertise at national, regional and international levels.
The expected findings are that disasters play a role in the agenda dynamic by focusing the attention and opening a window of opportunity for promoting policy framings on the climate-mobility nexus. It is expected that the nature of policies and the policy communities account for which policy framings emerge in national contexts, whether they are transnational or specific.

P1D

CLIMATE (IM)MOBILITY IMPACTS & OUTCOMES

Impacts of mobility

Session chaired by:

Charlotte Scheerens

Ghent University

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11:30 - 13:00

Saal zweigeteilt (2)

Visibilising Informal displacements: the inevitable way ahead for accounting slow effects of climate related displacements

Presenter: Mausumi Moran Chetia, University of Amsterdam, Netherlands

Abstract

Informal displacements and relocations are inevitable forms of mobility
among communities repeatedly affected by erosion and floods. That is, when faced with a disaster or crisis situation, affected communities make their own choices to leave (or stay as the case may be). There may not always be adequate time for formal processes of relocation or they may be delayed or may never come. In that case, disaster experiential communities exercise their nirupai agency and innovate strategies to cope with the various kinds of insecurities that displacement risk can bring, such as squatting in an unused plot of land.

Therefore, a broader understanding of mobilities is required within the field of disasters- and climate-related displacements. It must include home experiences of experiential communities who resemble liminal subjects. Such communities are generationally affected by recurrent and slow disasters such as riverbank erosion, that often occur without any grand spectacles, despite the dramatic, sudden disappearances or massive erosion of lands.

Informal displacements and resettlements are difficult to be made visible, which pushes the experiential communities outside formal structures of governance. As a result of remaining beyond formal disaster governance structures, they are excluded from the global counting of people displaced internally in India. Thus, they go through the vicious cycles of becoming invisible and uncounted because they have been made invisible by not being counted long after they experience displacement.

Habitability and Climate Mobility-Related Loss of Social Resilience: Insights from Five Countries

Presenter: Diogo Andreolla Serraglio, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)

Abstract

This paper examines a central element of habitability, social resilience, which we define as the ability of a community to withstand adverse events and external stresses without surpassing critical thresholds for habitability (tipping points). Based on qualitative content and sentiment analysis of 626 interviews conducted in climate-affected regions and corresponding destination areas of Ghana, Kenya, Mali, Thailand, and South Africa, this paper tests these concepts and analyzes their complex interactions with out-migration. While no evidence suggests that climate change has rendered any communities uninhabitable to the extent that a critical mass of people has migrated away, the findings reveal troubling scenarios. Environmental and climatic shocks are eroding the resource base of subsistence agricultural households, contributing to declines in subjective well-being. These declines are further exacerbated by rising competition and tensions among groups with differing socioeconomic statuses. The study also highlights substantial variations in perceptions of wealth and identifies inequities in the distribution of aid and government support, which can intensify tensions within and between households and their governments. Limited capacities for developing coping strategies, including migration, mean that advantaged households are more likely to incorporate migration and remittances into resilience-building plans. Over time, remittances may reinforce existing wealth disparities, shaped by intersecting economic, social, political, and cultural factors. Thus, access to migration and its potential benefits is socially differentiated, with significant implications for social resilience.

Moving Together: climate change, mobility, and the impact on human and non-human animal health

Presenter: Dorien Braam, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine

Abstract

The impact of climate change and environmental degradation increasingly shapes patterns of migration, with profound implications to both human and non-human animal health. Climate change-induced environmental stressors, such as droughts, desertification, extreme weather, and habitat loss, are driving complex decisions regarding the movement of animals. For pastoralist and agrarian communities, whose livelihoods depend on animals, climate-induced displacement is not just a human concern but a complex process of multispecies migration. While some communities engage in planned relocation efforts to sustain their economic and cultural ties to livestock, others face involuntary immobility due to restrictive policies, resource constraints, or ecological barriers, leaving both people and their animals vulnerable. Additionally, the role of animals in these mobility decisions reflects broader issues of One Health and planetary health challenges, as the well-being of humans, animals, and ecosystems is interconnected. From temporary settlements to urban contexts, access to veterinary care, water and land for grazing becomes critical for safeguarding both human and animal health in the context of climate mobility. This study explores the emerging and underexamined dimensions of multispecies migration, emphasizing the need for holistic policies and practices that integrate One Health approaches in environmental displacement scenarios. By foregrounding the role of animals in climate-driven mobility, this study highlights how their presence, or absence, reshapes migration trajectories, adaptation strategies, and resilience-building in an era of accelerating climate change.

How much pressure is too much pressure? The environmental impact of the refugee and IDPs camps in Cox Bazar District: case study

Presenter: Anna Maria Rosinska, Joint Research Centre of the European Commission

Abstract

The increasing number of displaced people worldwide, driven by political instability, environmental factors, and other issues, has led to the establishment of numerous refugee camps and settlements for internally displaced persons (IDPs). This has significant environmental consequences. Often, these camps evolve into permanent settlements, which affect local resources, including water, food, and energy. It can create uninhabitable conditions, leading to further displacement. These challenges persist despite various national and subnational level measures implemented.

Large refugee settlements in Cox’s Bazar District in Bangladesh hosting people who, among others, seek refuge from adverse environmental conditions and disasters, in turn, have notably altered the local environment. Thanks to research using remote sensing technologies and geospatial analysis we measure and model the environmental impacts and changes in the area, such as deforestation, land degradation, water contamination, and pollution. We juxtapose them with data from UNHCR and IOM monitoring the human population in the region.

The objective of this study is to provide a comprehensive analysis of the environmental impacts of informal settlements. The findings will substantially enhance our understanding of the sustainable management of crisis housing and will be instrumental in informing policies that better support displaced populations while preserving the environment. It is essential not only for mitigating immediate environmental impacts but also for ensuring long-term sustainability for both inhabitants and the environment. Understanding the connection between human activities, extreme weather events, and the planned relocation or spontaneous abandonment of refugee and IDP camps is crucial in developing sustainable crisis measures.

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13:00 – 14:30

Evangelischer Kirchenkreis

Lunch Break

 

Lunch will be served at the venue in Foyer vom Saal, with vegetarian and vegan options available.
Standing tables will be set up in Saal Zweigeteilt (1) near the balcony. You are also welcome to use any other available seating during the lunch break. Please return your dishes to the designated collection area located in Foyer vom Saal. Thank you!

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14:30 - 16:00

PARALLEL WORKSHOP SESSION (W1)

The workshop sessions differ in format and setup from the regular presentation sessions. Three of the eight workshops are organized by ECMN workstreams, which look at climate (im)mobilities through the lens of Gender, Health, and Media, Representations & Narratives, and five workshops result from workshop proposals submitted by conference participants. Please click on each workshop description for more details.

W1A

From the Grassroot: Comparing on-the-ground action and academic analysis to address climate mobility challenges

CONVENERS:

Giulia Mancini Pinheiro
Giovanna Gini
Hanne Wiegel
Zenaida Lauda-Rodriguez

South American Network for Environmental Migrations (RESAMA)

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14:30 - 16:00

Saal zweigeteilt (1)

Description

A regional and local approach to environmental and climate-related mobilities is essential to address its context-specific challenges and draw inclusive, respectful and just solutions. However, much of the debate focuses on advocacy and national policy development. Being largely left alone with the impacts of climate change and related mobilities, local communities have developed and implemented tools and strategies tailored to their needs. While such bottom-up solutions are often abstractly regarded as ‘best practices’ for guiding policy development, research on existing grassroots initiatives and their inclusion in policy development is still limited. In its project ‘From the Grassroots: Environmental and Climate Mobilities in Latin America ’, RESAMA (the South American Network for Environmental Migration) aims to turn around this dynamic and centre on the experiences, narratives and practices of grassroots organisations, projects and initiatives across the region in order to visibilize them and create a space for interconnection and collective learning. We are doing this through an interactive map and a collective building capacity session to enable knowledge exchange between the participants, who are not only on the frontline of climate change impacts, but also the designers and implementers of these strategies.

In the workshop, we will present the mapping of organisations across Latin America and provoke a reflection of the community narratives, challenges and strategies around environmental mobilities identified by the grassroots initiatives. We take these insights as a basis to provoke participants´ reflection on overlaps and tensions between grassroots and academic views on the topic, and how academia can learn from and successfully support such grassroots initiatives

W1B

Mapping Language and Loss: A Methodological Mini-Workshop on the Terminology of Displacement

CONVENERS:

Hannah Pool

Max Planck Institute for the Study of Societies

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14:30 - 16:00

Saal zweigeteilt (2)

Description

This mini-workshop aims to examine the language used to describe the loss of habitable lands by engaging participants in a collaborative exploration of terminology. Participants will be invited to contribute words from their respective languages that capture the nuances of environmental and habitual displacement, either through direct translation or contextual explanation. The outcome will be the creation of a multilingual glossary that articulates these critical concepts more effectively. Beyond its connection to my research on Learning Loss, this workshop initiative seeks to foster linguistic reflection and cross-cultural dialogue, strengthening interpersonal connections among the 150 participants present in Bonn. Given ECMN’s emerging status as a network, such collaborations are valuable in building shared understanding and possible research collaborations in the future.

 

W1C

Counter Cartography as Art Practice: Mapping histories of Mobilities and Environmental Change in Central Sulawesi – Storytelling Session

Conveners:

Dani Paredes Grijalva

University of Vienna

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14:30 - 16:00

Clubraum

Description

This session reimagines cartography as a dynamic, participatory act of storytelling, centered around a collaborative textile map created during ethnographic fieldwork in Indonesia on local disaster and environmental knowledge linked with mobilities. Conventional maps proved insufficient in capturing the region’s complex narratives, particularly the temporal and epistemic dimensions rooted in mythical time and local knowledge. That is why I collaborated with art collectives to make our own map. This session proposes a horizontal, communal exploration of these overlooked histories and adds a historical lens to discussions on environmental change and mobilities.

Storytelling Format: Participants will gather in a circle, with the textile map laid out as a focal point. This session departs from traditional presentations, instead embracing a storytelling format. Attendees are invited to engage with the map, pointing to specific elements that relate to the links between environment and mobilities, and asking about them. They can also share their own stories, research, or reflections, weaving personal narratives with the map’s visual representations of mobilities and environmental change. The map serves as a catalyst for collective memory and shared understanding.

W1D

Planned Relocation as Adaptation Strategy – Practical Example of Fiji (and beyond?)

Conveners:

Marie Doerr
Amina-Laura Schild

The Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ)  / German Corporation for International Cooperation

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14:30 - 16:00

Ameron Bonn Hotel Königshof

Description

As climate change intensifies, planned relocation has emerged as an option of last resort when rising sea levels and extreme weather events make other climate adaptation measures unviable. While international frameworks such as the UNFCCC, the WIM for L&D, Global Compact for Migration, and PDD recognize the need for relocation, a significant gap remains between international policy frameworks and the political will or capacity of states to implement them.

Fiji is among the few countries with a national architecture for planned relocation. Since 2017, the GIZ-HMCCC Global Programme has supported Fiji’s relocation governance, contributing to the development of participatory and human rights-based Standard Operating Procedures (SOPs), a Comprehensive Risk and Vulnerability Assessment Methodology (CRVAM), and the Climate Relocation of Communities Trust Fund (CROC).

Drawing on years of practical engagement in Fiji, this session builds on emerging global discussions about how lessons from context-specific relocation experiences can meaningfully inform policy and practice elsewhere. While the idea of global standardization has gained traction, it also raises concerns about the risk of overlooking local realities and the feasibility in more densely populated areas like cities. This session aims to reflect how differentiated and demand-driven approaches can be developed based on local experiences. We will discuss the following questions:
This session will serve as a sounding board to assess:

• Where and how Fiji’s experiences can add value beyond the Pacific?
• What enabling conditions are required for meaningful transfer?
• What other case studies of relocation do you know? What are the differences/similarities to the Fiji case?

Participants will engage in a critical discussion on how to scale responsibly and in a context-sensitive manner – moving beyond one-size-fits-all approaches.

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16:00 - 16:30

Evangelischer Kirchenkreis

Coffee Break

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16:30 – 18:00

Parallel presentation session (P2)

4 parallel sessions made up of 3 – 4 presentations.
Each panelist takes the floor for 10 minutes, followed by 40 minutes of Q&A.

P2A

CLIMATE (IM) MOBILITY DRIVERS

Place Attachment I

Session chaired by:

Hanne Wiegel

Universidad de Chile

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16:30 - 18:00

Saal zweigeteilt (2)

Cognitive biases, behavioral preferences, and the decision to stay in climate-risk areas

Presenter: Ivo Steimanis, Philipps University Marburg

Abstract

Why do individuals remain in climate-vulnerable areas despite escalating risks? Through a behavioral lens, this study explores whether cognitive biases are present among climate change-affected populations and whether these biases can explain their preference to stay. We deconstruct the decision-making process into three stages: awareness, intention formation, and action. Using data from two surveys conducted in coastal Bangladesh, we examine the role of motivated reasoning and sunk cost bias, as well as impatience, risk aversion, and self-efficacy. Our findings show that 40% of individuals living in areas frequently affected by climate hazards engage in motivated reasoning, which leads them to downplay the severity of risks, such as sea-level rise. Additionally, one third of respondents exhibit sunk cost bias, particularly those with strong emotional attachment to their land, influencing their preference to remain in high-risk areas. This combination of biases consistently forms a coherent pattern: despite a higher inclination to take risks, which could encourage relocation, respondents demonstrate significantly lower levels of patience, especially those most strongly attached to their homes, potentially preventing them from acting on their intentions to relocate. Together, these results indicate that the decision to remain in climate change-affected regions frequently derives from an interplay of cognitive biases that systematically influence risk perception and adaptation choices. Recognizing these biases is crucial for designing effective and inclusive climate adaptation strategies that address socio-economic inequalities and empower communities to make informed decisions about their future.

Place attachment amid climate (im)mobilities

Presenter: Pilar Morales Giner, Universidad de Granada

Abstract

Place brings together physical elements and the sociopolitical contexts around them. When communities experience change, their place attachments—the emotional and social connections they form with their surroundings—become particularly evident. In this way, place attachment offers a valuable framework for understanding how climate change impacts both mobility and immobility.
We argue for a conceptualization of place attachment that involves both place awareness and place affection. A key dimension of place attachment is the emotional and affective bonds that communities develop with the spaces they live in. In addition to this, place attachment also involves the development of practical knowledge accumulated overtime, including localized environmental knowledge essential for adaptation and survival.
From this perspective, we cover how multiple previous works have argued that place attachment plays an important role in determining (im)mobility decision making. However, place attachment also helps explain not only whether populations affected by climate change stay or leave but also how they do so. For example, affective links to place are related to solastalgia, a form of distress associated with loss of climate affected populations. Further, communities that move after being affected by a climate-induced disaster may experience a rupture in their place-based knowledge, complicating adaptation in their new environments.
In this article, we argue for a comprehensive understanding of place attachment in relation to climate (in)mobilities that involves both emotional and practical links to place. To do so, we review existing research on climate-related (im)mobility, including responses to slow-onset climatic changes, resettlement, and disaster-induced displacement.

Risk perceptions and migration decision-making under high multi-hazard risk: a case-study from upland Nepal

Presenter: Robin Abbing, University of Vienna

Abstract

Why do people stay despite high environmental risk? This study explores risk perceptions and migration decision-making in a multi-hazard context of upland Nepal. Since the catastrophic earthquake of 2015, the landscape of many valleys in northern Nepal have become increasingly unstable, resulting in recurring landslides, floods and rockfall events. Additionally, global warming is heightening the risk of glacial-lake outburst floods in the region.

In this multi-risk context, the lived experiences and perceptions of risk and migration among residents of the Bhote Koshi valley were studied, using qualitative and participatory methods. This approach revealed complex mobility dilemmas: while most residents are highly aware of the increasing risks, many also feel deeply attached to their land, resulting in a state of immobility. Notably, those who remain are predominantly the most financially vulnerable, or are constrained by age, gender or class and caste in their motility.

Yet, to categorise this as ‘involuntary’ or ‘acquiescent immobility’ proved overly simplistic, as it did not fully capture the residents’ experiences. Rather, their immobility is the outcome of a combination of both positive and negative factors and exists on a continuum between ‘voluntary’ and ‘forced’.

The findings of this study question the practical applicability of (im)mobility categorisations as conceptualised through the aspirations-capabilities framework. They emphasise the need for a more nuanced understanding of immobility rooted in human experience. Such insights are vital to informing inclusive policymaking that enhances the motility and adaptive capacity of people who remain in places exposed to high environmental risk.

Rethinking Climate Migration: Retain Factors and the Choice to Stay

Presenter: Ilse Ruyssen, Ghent University

Abstract

This paper addresses the ‘mobility bias’ in the climate-migration literature by examining the role of retain factors that prompt people to stay in climate-vulnerable regions of West Africa. While climate change is often framed as a push factor for migration, observed migration flows remain far smaller than most migration theories predict. This discrepancy is typically attributed to financial and structural barriers to mobility, yet existing models often overlook the factors that make people want to stay.
Using data from the Gallup World Polls, we conduct a comprehensive multilevel empirical analysis across thirteen West African countries to investigate how retain factors shape aspirations to migrate or remain in place. By constructing new indicators of climate vulnerability and migration ability, we capture the heterogeneous nature of these decisions. Our findings reveal that individual characteristics have the strongest explanatory power, followed by satisfaction with community institutions, while economic factors, health indicators, and social ties play a more limited role.
This study challenges the dominant narrative that focuses on involuntary immobility and ‘trapped populations’, instead revealing the positive dimensions of place attachment. Those who aspire to stay amidst climate challenges report higher levels of contentment, social support, trust, and satisfaction with local institutions. The interplay between these factors, climate vulnerability, and migration ability offers key insights into why many individuals opt to remain despite environmental pressures. Understanding these dynamics is critical for designing adaptation strategies and sustainable policy solutions tailored to the realities of this climate-vulnerable region.

P2B

DIVERSE CLIMATE (IM)MOBILITIES

Complex temporalities – Life Histories and the Long Term

Session chaired by:

Giovanna Gini

King’s College London

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16:30 - 18:00

Clubraum

Temporalities of hydrological climate (im)mobilities 

Presenter: Aline Bravo, University of Southern California

Abstract

This paper examines the temporalities of an imminent hydrological disaster in the Canal del Dique River in Colombia, analyzing the (im)mobilities shaped by this scenario. The Canal del Dique is an artificial branch of the Magdalena River, constructed during colonial times, to facilitate commerce through the port of Cartagena de Indias. Today, the canal is surrounded by small settlements and wetland-dependent agricultural activities. However, erosion caused by large oil tankers, inadequate maintenance, and shifting rainfall patterns due to climate change have exacerbated the region’s vulnerability to flooding. Although the last significant flood occurred in 2010, structural conditions remain the same, leaving the region in constant risk.
Disasters are not merely episodic events but ongoing processes that expose deep sociopolitical and environmental dynamics (Barrios 2017). In this context, disaster is not a singular past event but an imminent condition that positions communities in a state of constant vigilance and adaptation. The 2010 flood triggered both temporary and permanent displacements, and the anticipation of another flood similarly generates practices of mobility and immobility. In a region historically affected by violence and displacement, climate (im)mobilities complicate displacement, as migration is not only a reaction to environmental change but is shaped by existing socio-environmental conditions (Kelley, Shattuck, and Thomas 2022).
Based on ethnographic fieldwork conducted in 2022, this study explores how people live with the threat of imminent disaster. By analyzing how mobility and immobility are embedded practices within broader socio-environmental uncertainties, this research contributes to discussions on the temporality of climate (im)mobilities.

Essential Services Conditions (ESC) Framework: Rethinking (Im)Mobility in Disaster Recovery 

Presenter: Karolina Sobczak-Szelc, University of Warsaw

Abstract

While studies of disaster displacement acknowledge the complexities in post-disaster recovery and redevelopment, they often focus on the physical reconstruction of dwellings and livelihoods. However, the aspiration and ability to return after displacement depend on the accessibility of essential infrastructures and services. Disruptions to these—such as water, healthcare, and transportation—play a key role in shaping mobility and immobility patterns after disasters, affecting different social groups unequally. Moreover, the recovery of services often progresses unevenly, and they are partly interdependent. Without accounting for the multi-dimensional nature of the disruption and recovery of essential services, it is difficult to understand the influence of disasters on (im)mobility and return decisions among specific social groups.

To address these aspects, we introduce the Essential Services Conditions (ESC) framework, which categorizes disruptions into three phases: stability, catastrophe, and restoration, allowing us to examine their impact on post-disaster (im)mobility. Through a comparative analysis of Hurricane Katrina (USA, 2005) and the Nepal Earthquake (2015), we demonstrate how disruptions of services and their uneven reconstruction differentially influence aspirations, capabilities, and long-term decisions to stay, relocate, or return across different social groups.

By integrating perspectives from geography and social anthropology, we highlight how service reconstruction follows asynchronous timelines—some infrastructures are quickly restored, while others remain inaccessible for years—shaping cascading mobility patterns. The ESC framework offers a new, service-centered perspective on resilience and adaptation, challenging dominant assumptions about disaster recovery as a straightforward process of return.

Tracing Adaptation Through Time: An Intergenerational understanding of Household Adaptation and Environmental non-migration… 

Presenter: Sayantan Samui, Utrecht University

Abstract

Understanding the temporal dynamics of livelihood resilience across generations offers insights into how human-environment relationships have shifted under climate change. Migration is often seen as an adaptation strategy, yet many people choose to stay despite risks (‘non-migration’). Both strategies shape livelihood resilience, however, migration can also fail when hardships or crises at the destination lead to involuntary return, highlighting the need to examine its historical dimensions. This study addresses two key gaps: examining how livelihood choices have evolved across generations in response to environmental and socio-economic changes and tracing the historical factors influencing migration and non-migration decisions. We introduce the novel ‘Intergenerational Livelihood Pathways’ framework which integrates resource accessibility, livelihood choices, and (non)migration patterns across generations. Based on 53 livelihood history interviews in coastal villages of India and Bangladesh, our findings reveal a shift from nature-based livelihoods (farming, fishing, forest dependency) in the grandparents’ generation to non-nature-based livelihoods (small businesses, wage labor, migrant work) in the grandchildren’s generation. This transition, initiated in the parents’ generation, was driven by increasing environmental degradation, expanding migration flows, and greater access to formal education. Migration aspirations evolved from voluntary non-migration (grandparents) to a mix of voluntary non-migration and forced migration (parents) to a combination of voluntary non-migration and voluntary migration (grandchildren). Additionally, free ration transfers, remittances, and intergenerational knowledge shape the present generation’s livelihood strategies, including voluntary staying aspirations. This study advances theoretical understanding by integrating historical perspectives into the aspiration-capability framework and offering insights into the temporal dynamics of livelihood resilience.

The Aspiration to Return: Challenging Linear Narratives of Environmental Migration 

Presenter: Cécile Artigaud, Sorbonne Paris Nord University

Abstract

With the ‘mobilities turn’ (Sheller & Urry, 2006; Glick Schiller & Salazar, 2013), scholars have underscored the complexity of migration drivers and choices, revealing how geographic and cross-border mobility permeates everyday social and economic practices, particularly in West Africa ( Kleist & Bjarnesen, 2023). However, when discussing environmental drivers, migration is often depicted as a linear process, which overlooks its multifaceted and unpredictable nature. This presentation aims to challenge these traditional narratives, especially by exploring the aspiration to return, as highlighted by scholars like Roger Zetter.
Recent biographical interviews with migrants from Burkina Faso residing in Ghana reveal that even in contexts of environmental change or crisis, migration rarely follows pre-established and inflexible plans. It evolves through stages linked to personal life courses, shaped by a dynamic interplay of lifeways, socio-economic conditions in the regions traversed, and broader historical patterns that transcend or question national boundaries and belonging.
While border crossings often entail significant risks, connections to countries of origin are rarely severed. This is especially evident in the frequent cultural movements associated with events such as weddings and funerals, as well as the desire to return home to fulfill community responsibilities, such as eldership duties. These observations call for a re-examination of the analysis of environmental migration, challenging the framing of these movements within rigid constructs.
Employing a biographical lens allows for a deeper analysis of migration as a social process, highlighting how it is embedded in kinship networks and cultural traditions (Collet & Veith, 2013).

P2C

CRITICAL & THEORETICAL ADVANCES

The Evolution of Climate Mobilities Research

Session chaired by:

Etienne Piguet

University of Neuchâtel

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16:30 - 18:00

Ameron Bonn Hotel Königshof

The Evolution of Climate Migration Research: Mapping a Growing Field

Presenter: Maria Horvat Kohutova, Erasmus University

Abstract

This study explores how climate migration research has evolved from a niche topic into a distinct academic field. While scholars have examined climate migration since the 1980s, only in the past two decades has the field consolidated through shared knowledge infrastructures. By analyzing key indicators—internal and external recognition, shared language, social ties, and legitimacy—this research identifies the mechanisms shaping its development.

Using a mixed-methods approach—combining bibliometric analysis, policy review, and expert interviews—we trace how conceptual frameworks, citation patterns, and international collaboration have shaped the field. Findings indicate increasing interconnectivity through 1) citation patterns around early scholars, 2) dominant paradigms such as the multicausality approach, and 3) growing international collaboration. Policy and funding institutions have played a critical role in this process, influencing research agendas and institutional legitimacy.

Despite this progress, challenges remain, including theoretical fragmentation, the need for stronger legitimacy within science infrastructures, and limited representation from under-researched regions. This study offers a framework for assessing how research fields mature and highlights the interplay between knowledge production and policy influence. By mapping these trends, it provides insights for scholars, funders, and decision-makers invested in the future of climate migration research.

Climate change impacts and migration to and within Europe

Presenter: Sarah Haider-Nash, University for Continuing Education Krems

Abstract

Despite a growing empirical and theoretical literature on the links between climate change and migration, the majority of scholarship focusses on the Global South. At the same time, projections that estimate future migration within or from countries and regions in the Global South are often misinterpreted and misappropriated in security-laden discourses to warn against rising numbers of people who will inevitably move to the Global North, including to Europe. These myths surrounding human mobilities in the context of climate change are confounded by the limited evidence providing insights into the role played by climate change and related events in shaping migration patterns to and within Europe as well as lack of scholarship that conceptualises climate change and migration as an intra-European phenomenon. This constitutes a significant knowledge gap at a time when climate impacts are increasingly becoming visible and migration politics continues to be contentious and value laden. To this end, we present an ongoing systematic literature review of the existing scholarship on this region, including literature that does not use specific migration terminology but falls under the broader climate mobilities umbrella. We therefore give an overview of existing evidence and provide a springboard for further investigations on climate change and migration to and within Europe.

CliMoGraph: A Knowledge Graph for Integrating and Representing Knowledge from Climate Mobility Literature 

Presenter: Songlin Wang, Department of Geography and Regional Research, University of Vienna

Abstract

While various studies have been conducted regarding the nexus between environmental change and human mobility, they remain fragmented due to diverse research areas, environmental events, socio-demographic groups, and the heterogeneous nature of climate-related (im)mobility. This hinders scholars and policymakers in cross-scale knowledge management, decision making, and transdisciplinary collaboration. To address such issues, this study introduces a spatially explicit knowledge graph that integrates peer-reviewed climate mobility literature. By defining an ontology at the beginning, domain concepts such as places, people, environmental hazards, migration decisions and patterns, even research methodologies, are structured as nodes, while relationships between them are framed as edges. Leveraging the ontology, NLP technologies including named entity recognition, relation extraction, event extraction and entity alignment are employed to systematically discover, link, disambiguate, and store knowledge from literature. This organizes scattered knowledge into a unified graph, then enables faceted queries like ‘Which regions with socio-demographic vulnerabilities are exposed to environmental risks’ through GeoSPARQL, facilitating human-computer interaction and knowledge exchange. Unlike the black-box models found in generative AI, this knowledge-driven approach ensures explainability and transparency with explicit semantic relationships. Flexibility and interoperability are also maintained, since updating with external datasets is easy and affordable. Future work will integrate and link additional heterogeneous data like real-time quantitative data, websites and scientific reports, to make the graph capable of representing a more comprehensive context of climate mobility. Reasoning will also be implemented, enabling the discovery of hidden knowledge, supporting people from different positions to observe, collaborate, and plan for the future.

P2D

CLIMATE (IM)MOBILITY IMPACTS & OUTCOMES

Loss & Damage

Session chaired by:

Douwe van Schie

University of Bonn & UNU-EHS

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16:30 - 18:00

Saal zweigeteilt (1)

In Search of Solutions: Reimagining conventional approaches to resolving forced (im)mobilities in a world of climate change loss and damage 

Presenter: Steven Miron, Refugee Law Initiative, School of Advanced Study University of London

Abstract

The paper considers how durable solutions to displacement and other forced (im)mobilities in the context of climate change loss and damage should inform policy and practice, including across the emerging UNFCCC Loss and Damage architecture. The paper also considers how conventional durable solutions approaches to internal displacement (those based on the 2010 IASC Framework on Durable Solutions for Internally Displaced Persons) must evolve to meet the growing impacts of climate change.

The paper draws on field research conducted over ten weeks in Bangladesh in three distinct loss and damage contexts – a rural sending location, an urban receiving location, and a peri-urban receiving location where climate-related environmental degradation is creating onward migration pressure. Data were drawn from semi-structured interviews with sixty affected individuals in varying (im)mobility contexts and field observations of interventions by development actors. Mobilities analyzed include displacement, involuntary immobility and debt-bonded labor migration.

Our findings suggest that the multifaceted approach of conventional durable solutions frameworks can deliver positive outcomes and should be mainstreamed into efforts to avert, minimize and address forced (im)mobilities related to loss and damage, both within and outside the UNFCCC. However, conventional approaches must also evolve in response to the challenges of climate change – or be integrated with complementary programs that address shortcomings in established durable solutions approaches. Gap areas our research identified include support for individual and community agency, the related and potentially transformational role of locally led adaptation (LLA) approaches, and the need to align disaster risk reduction and durable solutions efforts.

Learning Loss: Towards a Typology of How Societies Define and React to Loss 

Presenter: Hannah Pool, Max Planck Institute for the Study of Societies

Abstract

Learning Loss: Towards a Typology of How Societies Define and React to Loss

Loss is a universal experience, yet societies respond to it in diverse ways, particularly in the context of climate change and climate-induced mobilities. This paper examines how loss is both shaped by and shapes societies, developing a typology of responses—including denial, displacement, adaptation, and compensation-seeking based on interview coding. By exploring both tangible and intangible losses, such as the erosion of community cohesion and cultural knowledge, this study seeks to uncover the institutional, economic, and social structures that mediate these processes.

Through multi-sited ethnography, this research compares societal responses to mobilities’ loss in Germany’s Ahr Valley with interview segments from Fiji and Kenya. These cases illustrate how climate mobilities emerge not only as a reaction to loss but as part of broader socio-political and economic transformations. While existing literature often emphasizes economic calculations of loss and damage, this paper highlights the social and political dimensions of displacement, resilience, and adaptation.

Building on the work of Elliott (2018), Mechler et al. (2019), and others, this research project seeks advances a sociological framework for understanding climate mobilities and loss. By moving beyond quantification, it provides insights into the governance of loss, the mobilities it generates, and the evolving narratives that shape global adaptation strategies through participants’ oral interviews and ethnographic observations.

From win-wins to trade-offs: conceptualising and addressing loss and damage in the context of migration as adaptation

Presenter: Lucy Szaboova, University of Exeter and University of Vienna

Abstract

This paper brings scholarship on migration as adaptation and loss and damage (L&D) into conversation and applies trade-offs as an analytic lens through which migration-related L&D can be identified.

Migration is increasingly recognised in research and policy as an autonomous adaptation strategy to climate change impacts. A win-win solution that has the potential to promote sustainability and climate-resilience in both places of origin and destination. But evolving research on autonomous adaptation, including migration, points to social limits and resulting trade-offs between valued aspects of life. While trade-offs are often seen as a reflection of people’s values and preferences, they are not apolitical.

Drawing on evidence from state-of-the-art science, the paper demonstrates how trade-offs resulting from evolving politics of power negotiated across different social, spatial and temporal scales within the system of migration as adaptation create winners and losers. As such, they shape weather migration leads to just, equitable and sustainable outcomes, or whether it fails to deliver transformative solutions to climate change and instead results in migration-related L&D. Because L&D occur when limits to adaptation are reached, migration-related economic and non-economic L&D can be indicative of the limits of migration as adaptation.

Building on these insights, the paper then outlines the implications of migration-related L&D for relevant policy debates, processes and mechanisms, including those under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). Drawing on scholarship on trade-offs in cognate fields, the paper also presents transferable lessons on the potential opportunities and challenges of addressing migration-related L&D.

Connecting Climate Risk and Loss & Damage: Cases from Flood-Prone State Assam, India

Presenter: Surbhi Vyas, Indian Institute of Technology Guwahati Assam

Abstract

Loss and Damage (L&D) has emerged as the “third pillar” in international climate negotiations, complementing mitigation and adaptation. As global discussion on L&D advances, understanding climate risks is crucial for developing adaptation strategies that minimize future L&Ds and will also help to understand the current L&D. This study presents a district-level risk assessment for Assam, India, using the IPCC AR6 risk framework. It further identifies the types of L&D faced by districts influenced by risk-driving factors. Our findings indicate that 24% of Assam’s districts fall within high flood-risk zones. These districts experience substantial losses and damages, including infrastructure damage, loss of lives and livelihoods, and unplanned relocation or forced displacement due to loss of land and livelihood. Many households are forced to leave their houses annually, leaving them to reside in temporary kutcha houses called “chang ghar” with no proper livelihood source. Furthermore, 61% of the districts fall under the moderate flood-risk category, where exposure and vulnerability are the dominant risk factors, leading to socio-economic impacts like loss of lives, livelihood and migration. In these districts, we observed that male members often migrate to nearby districts or other regions for livelihood to cope with these L&Ds. The remaining 15% of districts face low flood risk, driven by vulnerability, and face livelihood-related L&D, where targeted policy interventions can reduce risk and minimize L&D. We conclude that our study provides valuable insights for managing flood-induced L&D and offer a scalable methodology for assessing risk and L&D in the climate-vulnerable regions.

enjoy Bonn

End of the Day 

 

Day 2 | WEDNESDAY 9 July

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9:00 - 10:30

parallel presentation session (P3)

4 parallel sessions made up of 3 – 4 presentations.
Each panelist takes the floor for 10 minutes, followed by 40 minutes of Q&A.

P3A

CRITICAL & THEORETICAL ADVANCES

Gender I

Session chaired by:

Lore Van Praag

Erasmus University Rotterdam

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09:00 - 10:30

Saal zweigeteilt (1)

From Urban Disruption to Rural Opportunity: Climate-Induced Migration and Adaptation in Ghana

Presenter: Eric Gyampoh, University College of Management Studies, Accra

Abstract

Environmental variability is increasingly recognized as a major driver of global migration, with climate-induced changes such as disruptions in food and water security, extreme weather events, and rising sea levels, prompting migration as a survival strategy. In Ghana, urban-to-rural migration has emerged as a response to climate-related challenges, though it remains underexplored compared to rural-to-urban migration. This study examines the interplay of climate change, social capital, and urban-to-rural migration as a livelihood adaptation strategy, focusing on migrant farmers in Mangoase, Akwapim North Municipality. Using a qualitative phenomenological approach, data was purposively collected from nine participants who initially migrated from northern Ghana to Adjin-Kotoku, a peri-urban area in Greater Accra, and subsequently to Mangoase due to climate-related disruptions. Thematic analysis using NVIVO revealed key environmental push factors such as flooding, sand mining, urbanization, and poor land management, which caused loss of arable land and unsustainable urban livelihoods. Pull factors to rural Mangoase included access to fertile land, favourable land-use terms, market proximity, and job stability, which supported sustainable livelihoods. The study highlights gender disparities, with migrant women farmers facing greater challenges in land use and ownership. Climate change impacts, including reduced incomes, job insecurity, and health complications, were mitigated by social support in the form of emotional, financial, material, and labour-intensive aid. Recommendations emphasize comprehensive land-use policies, education on sustainable land management, gender-inclusive land rights, and rural development initiatives such as healthcare, education, and agro-processing industries to enhance rural sustainability and support urban-to-rural migration as a climate adaptation strategy.

Mobility outcomes and its potential for adaptation in the context of climate change in Bangladesh: A feminist study of migrant women’s daily lives and experiences at their destination

Presenter: Anouk Brisebois, Oslo Metropolitan University (OsloMet)

Abstract

Climate change represents a major challenge in South Asia, with women being particularly vulnerable to its impacts. Mobility may have the potential to facilitate adaptation in the context of climate change. However, limited research has examined the role of mobility in adaptation, especially from a feminist perspective, and its outcomes on the daily lives and experiences of understudied migrant women at their destination.

This paper presents a qualitative analysis of the intersection between gender, mobility and climate change in an urban destination area in coastal Bangladesh. It explores the gendered dimensions of mobility outcomes and the potential of mobility for adaptation from a feminist perspective, considering different contexts and realities.

Drawing on livelihood and life history interviews with migrant women and their spouses in the port city of Mongla, and grounded in feminist political economy, this paper provides insights into how patriarchal economic, cultural and political structures in Bangladesh perpetuate gender inequalities and injustices. These structures restrict women’s access to economic opportunities and resources, cultural recognition, and political representation. Gender also intersects with other axes of inequality, such as class, age, marital status, and migrant status, to perpetuate gender inequalities and injustices. Consequently, these may influence, somewhat negatively, the daily lives and experiences of migrant women at their destination and the potential of mobility for adaptation.

By providing contextualised and nuanced knowledge of migrant women’s distinct experiences and daily lives as an outcome of their mobility, this paper contributes to the mobility-as-adaptation debate from a feminist perspective.

Strengthening Climate Governance in Transition: ASEAN’s Adaptation to Protect Female Climate Migrants

Presenter: Linh Chi Dang, Universität Passau

Abstract

In 2024, the IDMC’s Global Report recorded 9 million disaster-induced displacements in Southeast Asia and the Pacific—the highest globally. With 1.4% to 2.7% of ASEAN Member States’ (AMS) populations at risk of climate-driven migration due to rising sea levels, coastal inundation, and extreme storms, a joint solution is crucial for the future of the area. As climate displacement largely remains within the region, ASEAN is uniquely positioned to lead policy responses, particularly for female climate migrants, who face heightened vulnerabilities. Climate migration is inherently gendered, yet existing policies fail to address its intersectional challenges. Women experience heightened risks, including limited access to reproductive healthcare and economic precarity. While ASEAN has frameworks addressing climate change, human rights, and female labour, their effectiveness in protecting female climate migrants remains underexplored. This research evaluates ASEAN’s existing policies to determine their capacity for addressing the unique challenges faced by female climate migrants. It examines the interplay between regional climate governance and gender-responsive migration frameworks, highlighting gaps where policies treat women solely as victims of climate crises or as migrants, without acknowledging the overlap of these identities. Findings underscore the need for a holistic, rights-based approach that integrates gender and climate-specific considerations into ASEAN’s migration governance. By proposing an intersectional policy framework, this research contributes to bridging critical gaps in regional protections, ensuring more comprehensive support for this marginalised group.

Women on the move? Mainstreaming gender in policies and legal frameworks addressing climate-induced migration

Presenter: Fanny Thornton, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)

Abstract

Climate change impacts are gendered. This is also true for climate-induced migration, which affects men and women differently. On account of this difference, legal instruments and policies seeking to address and support climate-induced migration need to be gender-focused to address differentiated needs and outcomes. This paper looks at existing policies and legal instruments for the inclusion of gender aspects of climate-related migration. We focus on Ethiopia, India, and Peru, all of them with developed instruments to address the human mobility-climate change nexus. We investigate the scope of provisions concerning gender in relevant instruments in the three country contexts, their likely impact to tackle gender-specific vulnerabilities arising with climate-induced migration, and suggest strategies and priorities for enhancing gender inclusion in policy development and application broadly.

P3B

DIVERSE CLIMATE (IM)MOBILITIES

Complex trajectories – Borders, Transit & Crossings

Session chaired by:

Patrick Sakdapolrak

University of Vienna 

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09:00 - 10:30

Konferenzraum

Bordering, De-bordering, and Re-bordering: West African border crossing in changing climates

Presenter: Ademola Olayiwola, Wageningen University & Research

Abstract

This article explores the spatial and temporal dynamics of bordering practices related to the cross-border transhumance of Fulani pastoralists in West Africa, a region increasingly affected by climate change, violent extremism, resource scarcity, and land-use tensions. Merging the literature on border dynamics with the concept of riskscapes, we argue that the border is not static or fixed, but rather waxes and wanes according to evolving perceptions of risk. In the context of Fulani cross-border movements, material risks – such as resource scarcity, land-use tension, shifts in rainfall patterns, and violent attacks – provide the foundation for bordering practices. However, these material risks are accompanied by discursive dimensions, through which actors interpret and translate concrete risks into narratives of threat or safety. At certain times and in certain spaces, Fulani movements are portrayed as risky and in need of interventions, while at other times and in other spaces they are portrayed as benign. These narratives, in turn, shape bordering practices that control when and where Fulani move. By situating bordering dynamics within the riskscapes framework, we show how borders are repeatedly produced, recede, or reemerge depending on perceived risks or opportunities. The combination of riskscapes and bordering research reveals how authorities and communities negotiate the timing and spacing of borders as part of broader risk management strategies. The case provides insights for contemplating the future of bordering practices amidst rising environmental and security challenges.

Enduring Change: A Data Review of Firsthand Accounts of Climate Mobility Impacts

Presenter: Julia Neusner, International Refugee Assistance Project

Abstract

This paper presents findings from an unprecedented study on the impact of climate change on cross-border mobility in the Americas. For more than two years, the International Refugee Assistance Project and a coalition of legal services organizations have surveyed over 4,000 migrants and asylum seekers about climate-related challenges in their countries of origin and during transit. This is the first in a series of publications from the ongoing study. Our initial findings reveal that many respondents faced multiple climate disasters—heavy rains, extreme heat, hurricanes, and flooding—which compounded existing vulnerabilities and likely drove their displacement. These disasters devastated homes and infrastructure, shut down essential services like schools and hospitals, and destroyed livelihoods, often with little to no government support. The study also documents climate-related challenges migrants and displaced people face during transit, as extreme weather makes journeys through jungles, deserts, and other treacherous terrain even more dangerous. While comprehensive data exists on disaster-driven internal displacement, cross-border climate mobility remains poorly documented. By capturing firsthand accounts alongside survey data, this research fills a critical knowledge gap and supports advocacy for policies that mitigate climate change impacts and protect people on the move.

Migration, (Im)mobility and Climate Change at Mexico City Borderlands 

Presenter: Edgar Cordova Morales, PRINTEMPS Lab, CNRS, University Paris Saclay

Abstract

This presentation examines the intricate relationship between climate change, (im)mobility, and gendered migration patterns in Mexico City. Drawing on ethnographic evidence and interviews planned for spring 2025, the research focuses on how environmental pressures intersect with existing social and political realities to shape migrant experiences. Specifically, it highlights the spatial reconfiguration of Mexico City as a new urban borderland, where Latin American migrants, particularly from Central America, grapple with a complex web of sociopolitical challenges that exacerbate environmental problems like droughts, wildfires, and floods. These factors, compounded by economic instability and gendered violence, significantly influence migration decisions within the region.

The presentation will further explore the subjectivities and strategies of international migrants in Mexico City. It analyzes how these individuals perceive and respond to the impacts of climate change at various stages – in their countries of origin, during their journeys, and after settling in Mexico. This research contributes to the growing body of literature at the intersection of migration, gender, race, and climate change, with a focus on understanding how migrants’ experiences are shaped by both environmental stressors and deeply entrenched socio-political, gendered, and racial structures.

Mexico’s historical role in U.S. border externalization has intensified violence against migrants since 2018, creating spaces of racialized and gendered vulnerability beyond territorial borders. In this context, Mexico City has emerged as a critical migratory hub, offering comparatively safer living, working, and environmental conditions for migrants who have endured protracted challenges along continental migratory routes.

A Chronicle of Disrupted Flows – The Bordering of the Amphibious Bengal Delta

Presenter: Madhurima Majumder, Wageningen University

Abstract

The Bengal Delta, specifically the Sundarbans, was once a dynamic, connected, and amphibious space. Historically, the active delta’s amphibious atmosphere thrived on human-nonhuman interdependencies, where tides and seasonal floods were seen as life-giving. But since colonial rule, this amphibious region has been disrupted by borders between land and water, humans and nonhumans, and between two countries – India and Bangladesh. In the recent past, extreme climate events, increasing border militarization, and top-down policies have exacerbated the communities’ vulnerabilities. It is often framed as a climate migration hotspot in policy and research discussions.
This paper traces the present crisis back to colonial state interventions which subsequently provided the blueprint for the post-colonial interventions that focused on increasing control over movement. Interventions such as rigid water management, legal reforms towards fixing land ownership, and the drawing of international borders, sought to contain and control this fluidity by imposing artificial boundaries. These interventions have altered historically flexible livelihoods, degraded the environment, and increased the marginalisation of vulnerable communities. This paper is also attentive to how these state interventions have not only impacted the physical landscape of the region, but also have had an affective and discursive impact on how the region is imagined, governed, and experienced by those living here. Informed by fieldwork, the paper describes how these state interventions disrupted the natural flows, with people feeling cut off from traditional livelihoods, non-human elements, and their adaptive culture leaving them more exposed to socio-political and climatic risks that currently impact the region.

P3C

GOVERNANCE

Local and national governance

Session chaired by:

Koko Warner

IOM

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09:00 - 10:30

Clubraum

Climate-Induced Displacement in Brazil: Environmental Crises, Migration, and the Struggle for Recognition

Presenter: Mona Lícia Santana Perlingeiro, SOAS University of London and Pontifícia Universidade Católica de São Paulo (PUC-SP)

Abstract

This study critically analyzes Brazil’s environmental policies, highlighting both progress and setbacks, while emphasizing the increasing prevalence of climate-induced displacement. The research explores the intersection of environmental crises, migration, and socio-political systems, positioning Brazil within broader Latin American and global contexts.

In 2024, the Brazilian Ministry of Justice and Public Security, through the Department of Migration, organized the Second National Conference on Migration, Refuge, and Statelessness. Discussions focused on the complex relationship between migration and environmental disasters in Brazil and Latin America. Despite the growing number of displaced individuals, climate-induced displacement remains largely unrecognized under current legal frameworks.

That same year, severe flooding in Rio Grande do Sul devastated cities, leaving thousands homeless, many of whom were international migrants already in vulnerable conditions. Meanwhile, Manaus faced a major environmental crisis caused by wildfires and drought. By August, the city had the worst air quality in Brazil, with dense smoke covering neighborhoods, further exacerbating the humanitarian crisis.

This study examines Brazil’s political responses to climate displacement, justice, and reparations, while exploring the social, economic, and racial dimensions of those most affected by climate change, particularly marginalized communities. The theoretical frameworks of the Anthropocene and decolonial perspectives, particularly from Indigenous scholar Ailton Krenak, challenge dominant Global North narratives. Additionally, Achille Mbembe’s concept of necropolitics helps analyze climate justice and environmental racism, emphasizing the disproportionate impact on Black and non-white populations. Ultimately, the research underscores the urgent need for international recognition of environmental refugees and the socio-economic transformations resulting from climate-related disasters.

Current global state of planning and implementation in NAPs for climate-related human mobility across different levels of governance

Presenter: Magdalena Mirwald, SLYCAN Trust

Abstract

Due to the highly context-specific and cross-cutting nature of both human mobility and adaptation, relevant actions must be designed not only at national but also at subnational levels of governance with participation of a wide range of actors. Countries are working to strengthen the linkages between national and subnational adaptation planning through a two-way process of vertical integration for the implementation of NAP priorities, as well as addressing the needs of people in situations of mobility and immobility. Based on desk research and key informant interviews, submitted NAPs were reviewed, particularly their concrete provisions or actions at the subnational level and related to migration, disaster displacement, or planned relocation.

This interactive session aims to enhance understanding of the existing types of approaches to integrating human mobility in NAPs into planning and implementation across levels of governance: localizing NAP’s priority actions on subnational level; developing subnational adaptation plans; including local actors in national planning; building local-level capacities; strengthening local leadership for implementation; enhancing integration between different levels of governance; improving subnational information and finance flows; and strengthening cross-sectoral linkages. Discussing M&E efforts in this context will contribute to considerations on ways to incorporate human mobility into the development of the indicator framework and the operationalization of the UAE Framework for Global Climate Resilience. Finally, the session provides a space to discuss findings, share experiences related to vertical integration and human mobility across countries and stakeholder groups, and build connections to collect challenges, good practices and opportunities in this topic.

Climate Change and Human Mobility in Pakistan: Challenges and Policy Responses

Presenter: Saeed A. Khan, Philipps University of Marburg

Abstract

The adverse impacts of climate change are increasingly influencing human mobility patterns, particularly in the developing world. Pakistan is highly susceptible to climate-related natural hazards, including floods, droughts, and extreme weather events. Managing disaster displacement risks and preparing for unavoidable displacement and mobility remains a significant challenge.
This study explores the relationship between climate change, mobility and disaster displacement in Pakistan, analyzing trends, challenges, and policy gaps. We provide an overview of Pakistan’s climate vulnerabilities, such as melting glaciers, rising sea levels, and shifting rainfall patterns, and their implications for displacement and migration. The differential impacts on marginalized communities, women, and children are also discussed.
We examine Pakistan’s policy framework concerning climate change and human mobility, assessing the relevance of international agreements such as the Paris Agreement, the Sendai Framework, and the Global Compact for Migration (GCM). We also evaluate national policies on climate change, disaster risk reduction, and migration, highlighting strengths, weaknesses, and gaps. Additionally, we discuss the challenges in implementing effective policies, including institutional constraints, limited resources, and governance issues. Despite these challenges, there are opportunities to enhance policy frameworks by integrating climate-induced mobility considerations into broader climate and development strategies. Finally, the role of international cooperation in supporting Pakistan’s efforts to address climate change impacts and build long-term resilience will be explored.

Challenges of Water (In)Security and Human Mobility for Municipal Public Management: An Approach from the Municipality of São Paulo

Presenter: Zenaida Lauda-Rodriguez, University of São Paulo and RESAMA

Abstract

The Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), published in 2014, in its chapter on Human Security, acknowledges the significance of human mobility in the context of climate change, given the increasing displacement of populations worldwide. Among the key drivers of displacement are events associated with hydrological variability, such as floods, landslides, flash floods, and droughts. In light of the growing adverse effects of climate change on the planet’s hydrological cycles, the relationship between Water (In)Security and Human Mobility emerges as particularly relevant, especially in disaster contexts.
This study aims to highlight the interconnections between Water (In)Security, climate change, disasters, and human mobility while examining the degree of coordination and governance of these agendas within public administration in the Municipality of São Paulo. The findings underscore the necessity for public policies on water management and governance to incorporate human mobility as a key element in territorial planning for water supply and watershed restoration. Additionally, water management policies must update their instruments to account for and address the potential impacts of population movements, particularly in response to hydrological stress scenarios, whether due to water scarcity (such as droughts) or excess water (such as floods, inundations, and flash floods). Finally, the study highlights the challenges faced by public administration in addressing planned relocation and voluntary immobility in the context of highly vulnerable urban communities exposed to hydrological disaster risks.

P3D

REPRESENTATIONS

Creating Counter-Narratives

Session chaired by:

Sophia Brown

Durham University

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09:00 - 10:30

Saal zweigeteilt (2)

Telling stories of home in a changing climate

Presenter: Olivia Aguilar, Mount Holyoke College

Abstract

Building on my research collecting cuentos, or stories, to help reframe Latine environmental identities, this work examines the power of storytelling as a vehicle to communicate the abstract impacts of climate change and to explore how people imagine/reimagine the meaning of home in a changing climate. Beginning with an autobiographical approach, I focus on the past two centuries that my Tejano family has lived in the region now known as Texas and weave together historical documents, climatography and family stories to help narrate my family’s movement (or not) through a changing climate. The use of the personal narrative, or story, here is significant because it inherently exposes flaws within a dominant narrative that has been established through forms of power and privilege (i.e. colonization, racism and white supremacy) (Sólorzano & Yosso, 2002). To date, the dominant narrative around climate migration has positioned marginalized communities as victims without agency. To this end, my objectives for this work are to: 1) create a counternarrative that helps us understand patterns of climate mobility that are less prominent in the mainstream discourse, and 2) examine the method of storytelling as a way to communicate about climate impacts in ways tangible and accessible to everyday people. Ultimately, storytelling about climate mobility/immobility can help communities see themselves in the larger narrative around climate change, thus, helping us understand the impacts of climate change on multiple scales from the large and distant to the local and personal, which can also be empowering.

Reimagining climate (im)mobility through art 

Presenter: Elena Giacomelli, University of Bologna

Abstract

This paper examines the intertwined narratives of climate change and migration, focusing on how visual aesthetics and artistic expressions shape public perceptions and political discourse on climate-induced migration. As climate change intensifies, the concept of “climate refugees” has become central to the political imaginary, often framed within a narrative of threat that emphasizes insecurity rather than addressing social inequalities and vulnerabilities. Such distorted narratives amplify anxiety surrounding climate migration, leading to discriminatory practices and heightened border security measures in the Global North. On the basis of these premises, this contribution aims to expand the understanding of the discourses surrounding climate change-induced (im)mobility by exploring how various forms of arts, visual aesthetics, and representation can reshape these narratives. By analyzing the representation of climate migrants in artistic initiatives, we seek to uncover how these representations can either perpetuate or challenge prevailing and mainstream misconceptions. We analyze four elements of artists’ representations that move around and overturn the concepts of victimhood, (in)security, adaptation, and political subjects in climate (im)mobilities. The paper argues that engaging with artistic practices offers a vital pathway for reimagining climate (im)mobilities, fostering more nuanced understandings that recognize the complexities of human mobility in the face of climate change.

Environmental Injustice and Digital Resistance: Social Media Discourses on Displacement in Turkey

Presenter: Ceren Cevik, Max Planck Institute for Study of Societies

Abstract

Turkey’s state-led infrastructure projects under Erdoğan’s presidency have resulted in large-scale environmental destruction and displacement fueled by extractionism that disproportionately affects rural, indigenous, and low-income communities. This study investigates the digital discourse and activism surrounding environmental displacement, focusing on grassroots environmental movements and NGOs mobilizing through social media against projects like the Akbelen coal mine, Ilısu Dam, Kaz Mountains gold mining, and Kanal Istanbul.
Using social media discourse analysis, this research examines how environmental NGOs (ENGOs) and activists frame displacement, mobilize resistance, and counter state narratives. Data is collected from Twitter/X, Instagram, and Facebook posts of leading ENGOs such as Kazdağları Dayanışması, Akbelen Direnişi, and Ekoloji Birliği. A qualitative thematic analysis will be conducted to identify dominant narratives, visual activism, strategies of activists, and engagement patterns.
Using social media discourse analysis, this research will analyze Twitter/X, Instagram, and Facebook posts from ENGOs such as Kazdağları Dayanışması, Akbelen Direnişi, and Ekoloji Birliği. It will explore how displacement is framed and what forms of digital activism emerge. Through qualitative thematic analysis, key discursive themes—such as environmental justice, corporate-state alliances, and digital mobilization—will be identified.
By investigating how social media serves as a platform for resistance, advocacy, and public discourse, this study contributes to broader discussions on digital environmental activism, climate mobility, and eco-resistance in (semi-)authoritarian contexts. The findings will provide insights into the role of digital spaces in shaping environmental justice struggles and contesting state-driven environmental degradation.

Climate activism: Exploring the role of Climate Mobility Advocates and how they shape the Narrative and Perspectives of climate migration

Presenter: Olivia Karp, University College London (UCL)

Abstract

Climate mobility in the context of climate change is identified as one of the largest future impacts in the climate crisis. According to the World Bank’s Groundswell report published in 2021 “216 million people by 2050 would have to migrate internally because of climate change” (World Bank, 2012). This would be in countries like Colombia, Nigeria, United States, Canada, Bangladesh and other places in the world. The reason as to why climate change is described as a reason for those having to migrate is because it exacerbates existing and new vulnerabilities in the face of migration. Even with the impacts of climate mobility, it is important to understand the role of narratives and how those narratives are shaped. This paper will focus on the role of narratives and how climate mobility activists raise awareness and educate on the effects communities have in the face of climate migration. All link back to influencing the role of climate activism and how they work in transforming narratives and perspectives in this space. Interviews from climate mobility activists from Canada and the Latin America will be used to describe in shaping those narratives of those impacted by climate change.

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10:30 - 11:00

Evangelischer Kirchenkreis

Coffee Break

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11:00 - 12:30

parallel presentation session (P4)

4 parallel sessions made up of 3 – 4 presentations.
Each panelist takes the floor for 10 minutes, followed by 40 minutes of Q&A.

P4A

CLIMATE (IM) MOBILITY DRIVERS

Linking Risk Perceptions & Mobility Aspirations

Session chaired by:

Simon Merschroth

Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research

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11:00 - 12:30

Konferenzraum

Understanding Climate Risk Perceptions and Mobility Intentions in Kyrgyzstan: An Intersectional Lens

Presenter: Setenay Kizilkaya, Leibniz Institute for Agricultural Development in Transition Economies

Abstract

In recent years, academic research on the relationship between climate change and (im)mobility has expanded, revealing the complex ways in which communities respond to climate impacts, and their perception hereof. Several studies found that migration types—adaptive, involuntary, and immobility—are shaped by social, political and economic circumstances besides individual/household characteristics. Together with socio-economic and political conditions, factors such as gender, age, ethnicity and socio-economic status can significantly shape climate risk perceptions of local communities and their intention to leave or to stay. However, existing literature on gendered environmental mobilities often overlooks the intersecting factors that affect climate risk perceptions and determine why mobility becomes an option for some individuals but not for others. Understanding the multidimensional and intersectional nature of climate risk perceptions and mobility intentions is crucial for evaluating If migration is an effective climate adaptation strategy and for whom. Furthermore, Central Asia is still underexplored within environmental mobilities literature even though it is significantly impacted by climate-related challenges, such as drought, water scarcity, and poor natural resource management. Taking Kyrgyzstan as a case study, this research addresses these gaps by participatory focus group discussions and semi-structured interviews in Jalal-Abad and Issyk-Kul provinces. Employing QCA and Q methodology, the research aims to inform safe climate adaptation and migration strategies that address the specific needs of different socio-demographic groups.

How Social Capital Influence Immobility: An Intersectional Approach

Presenter: Bishawjit Mallick, Utrecht University

Abstract

This study examines how climate change risk perception shapes the vulnerability of environmental non-migrants (ENMs), considering the influences of bonding social capital and intersectionality. A mixed-methods approach was employed, integrating quantitative and geospatial survey data with qualitative observations from coastal Bangladesh.
A Climate Vulnerability Index (CVI) was developed to assess vulnerability, encompassing three dimensions—exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity—alongside a Bonding Social Capital Index (BSCI), which measured community support and cohesion. The findings reveal that heightened perceptions of climate risks are associated with increased vulnerability among ENMs, contradicting prior research that suggests higher risk perception often leads to adaptive behaviors that reduce climate vulnerability. Surprisingly, the moderating role of bonding social capital in this relationship was not supported, indicating that while community networks exist, they may not be sufficient to mitigate structural barriers to adaptation.
Intersectional socio-demographic factors significantly shaped both risk perception and vulnerability. Women generally perceived lower climate risks than men, while older individuals exhibited greater concern about their families’ survival prospects. Additionally, individuals with lower education and income levels and older and less-educated ENMs faced heightened vulnerabilities. Most respondents were effectively ‘trapped,’ possessing migration aspirations but lacking the financial or social resources to relocate.
These findings highlight the need for context-specific, inclusive adaptation policies tailored to the unique vulnerabilities and evolving risk perceptions of ENMs. This study contributes to a deeper understanding of climate change impacts on marginalized communities by leveraging local knowledge and fostering equitable disaster risk reduction strategies.

Navigating Futures: Youth Migration Aspirations Amid Climate and Ocean Governance in Cape Verde

Presenter: Filipa Saraiva, Faculty of Economics of the University of Coimbra and Centre for Social Studies

Abstract

The ongoing doctoral research examines the interplay between overfishing, climate change, and migration, focusing on the aspirations of young individuals in Cape Verde’s coastal communities. Positioned at the intersection of environmental degradation and migratory patterns, the study investigates how governance policies and practices related to overfishing and climate change affect migratory aspirations. Cape Verde, an archipelago reliant on marine resources and rich in a culture of migration, faces significant challenges due to rising sea levels, biodiversity loss, and unsustainable fishing practices. These issues, intertwined with global climate governance and EU-Cape Verde partnerships, severely impact local livelihoods and mobility.
Utilizing an interdisciplinary and multi-methodological approach, this research addresses the central question: How do overfishing, climate change, and their governance policies influence the migratory aspirations of young individuals from Cape Verde’s coastal communities? The sub-questions explore governance mechanisms, policy gaps, the influence of socio-economic and community factors, and young people’s capacity to take action in response to environmental challenges.
The study employs a mixed-methods framework, incorporating legal documentary analyses, statistical data analysis, interviews, participatory observations, and gamification techniques. These methodologies aim to shed light on young people’s lived experiences, perceptions, and aspirations within the context of socio-environmental vulnerabilities. The findings will enhance the understanding of the multidimensional factors that influence migration and provide evidence-based recommendations for governance strategies that integrate young people’s voices while addressing the interconnected challenges of climate change, overfishing, and migration.

Heat ? Drought ? Soil degradation ?… what drives people to move ?

Presenter: Etienne Piguet, University of Neuchâtel

Abstract

Recent syntheses and meta-studies of the extensive literature on the links between population migration and environmental change remain inconclusive regarding the sign and amplitude of the two most studied drivers: temperature and rainfall variability. A strong argument is that this is due to contextual differences, but also to a neglect of the role of subjective perceptions. Another explanation is the complexity of the mechanisms linking environmental drivers and migration, and the neglect of intermediate drivers such as soil degradation and fertility loss.
Our study overcomes these limitations through an empirical survey in northern Senegal (n=905 households). We explicitly consider households’ migration intentions alongside their perceptions of a large panel of potential environmental drivers and control variables. Our logistic regression results show that households that perceive soil degradation as problematic are indeed the most likely to report migration intentions, while the links with temperature variability and pluviometry are weaker. It seems that soil degradation has a greater impact because it has a concrete and direct effect on current and future agricultural productivity, whereas temperatures and pluviometry do not.

P4B

DIVERSE CLIMATE (IM)MOBILITIES

Social Cohesion & (Trans)local Networks

Session chaired by:

Harald Sterly

University of Vienna 

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11:00 - 12:30

Saal zweigeteilt (2)

Solidarity practices and integration networks of Urban refugees in Greater Accra

Presenter: Kingsley Baffoe, CMS, University of Ghana, Legon

Abstract

Research about refugees in Ghana is not entirely new but research focusing on urban refugees, their solidarity practices and integration networks is hard to find. In the midst of growing displacements resulting from growing political instability. Climate change and environmental disruptions, the question of whether Greater Accra can serve as a sanctuary for the displaced is left unanswered. Using qualitative interactions, this study focused on exploring the solidarity structures and the strategies refugees employ to navigate the seemingly challenges of in an urban setting. The interaction reveals the existence of some local frameworks adopted by host country to protect refugees living in urban Accra. Refugees explore the refugee community zones approach where members receive communal support for themselves. Local and International NGO’s provide support systems to assist urban refugees to navigate through the challenges of accessing shelter, education, health and economic frameworks. Nonetheless, there are existing challenges of accessing preferred durable solutions and are forced by circumstances to integrate in host communities despite dislike

Cyclone-Displacement and Social Cohesion in Central Mozambique: How durable are the solutions?

Presenter: Susan Ekoh, German Institute of Development and Sustainability (IDOS)

Abstract

Gaps in knowledge and policy remain in addressing displacement and social cohesion in the context of climate change. This study examines how social cohesion is strengthened or weakened in displacement settings, focusing on Mozambique—a southern African country already experiencing loss and damage from the climate crisis. Drawing on research conducted in Sofala province in central Mozambique, the study assesses social cohesion in the context of cyclone-related displacement and evaluates government and donor-led resilience and recovery efforts, including relocation, housing reconstruction, and livelihood support. Using quantitative data from the International Organization for Migration (IOM)’s 2023 Displacement Tracking Matrix (DTM), alongside key informant interviews and focus group discussions, the findings reveal that while interventions by the government, humanitarian organizations, and development actors are essential, they risk undermining social cohesion if they do not integrate principles of distributive, participatory and procedural justice. The paper contributes to the growing discourse on climate-induced displacement by highlighting the need for justice-centered approaches to foster social cohesion in affected communities.

The Power from within and outside: Exploring the role of social capital as an enabler of capabilities in migration

Presenter: Tomy Ncube, University of Galway

Abstract

Social capital plays a pivotal role in shaping migration pathways by influencing decisions, financing, and integration. Using a case study from Ethiopia’s Hadiya and Wolaita regions, this paper investigates how social capital enables capabilities at different stages of migration, drawing on Amartya Sen’s Capability Approach (CA) to frame migration as a freedom that gets expanded or constrained by one’s social capital. Based on data from 200 individuals on the move, 51 returnees, and 51 potential migrants, combined with qualitative insights from focus groups and key informant interviews, this paper highlights the significance of social networks in enhancing or limiting individuals’ real opportunities (capabilities) to achieve desired outcomes such as migration, financial security, and social inclusion. The framework developed integrates bonding, bridging, and linking social capital with CA dimensions (functionings, capabilities, and conversion factors) analysing how social networks expand the scope of freedom in pre-migration decision-making, financing journeys, and post-migration adaptation. Our findings reveal that family and community networks act as vital support structures, particularly in financing migration through asset sales and informal borrowing, while bridging and linking capital ease integration challenges in destination areas. Our paper underscores the importance of social capital in enhancing migrants’ resilience and agency, offering a new perspective on migration as a function of both social networks and capabilities. Insights contribute to the broader discourse on migration and development, highlighting how local social networks mitigate vulnerabilities and enhance the adaptive capacity of mobile populations in fragile environments.

Transnational Adaptation and (Im)mobility: Migration Networks and Climate Responses in Havana’s Province

Presenter: Chiara Bernasconi, University of Neuchâtel

Abstract

Over the past three decades, academic discourse on climate change, migration, and adaptation has shifted from portraying individuals as passive “climate refugees” to recognizing them as adaptable agents. This evolving perspective has fueled growing scholarship on the nexus between climate (im)mobility and adaptation, particularly since the late 2000s. However, research often treats adaptation in situ, relocation, and migration as an adaptation strategy as separate dimensions rather than interrelated processes.
This study examines how migration networks facilitate adaptation among Cuban households in Havana Province, a region highly exposed to extreme weather events and slow-onset climate impacts. Through extensive fieldwork in Cuba and northern Italy, the research explores the role of transnational and translocal practices—including remittances, commodity circulation, and knowledge transfers—enabled by highly mobile Cuban nationals. It investigates how these cross-border connections shape household resilience, offering an alternative perspective on migration’s role in climate adaptation.
By integrating insights from migration and adaptation studies, this research highlights how transnational mobility and immobility interact to create dynamic adaptation strategies. In doing so, the study contributes to a more nuanced understanding of how migration, whether voluntary or forced, influences climate responses at multiple scales.

P4C

CRITICAL & THEORETICAL ADVANCES

Extractivism and (Climate) Colonialism

Session chaired by:

Andrew Baldwin

Durham University 

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11:00 - 12:30

Clubraum

Fishing as a holistic way of life in Changing Climates: Intersection of climate (im)mobilities, cultural heritage, and livelihood vulnerability in a semi-nomadic community

Presenter: Nuhu Adeiza Ismail, Wageningen University and Research

Abstract

Locals proudly regard the Guet Ndar fishery community of Senegal as ‘the heart of Saint-Louis’ and ‘the fishing capital of Senegal’. To the historically mobile fishers, fishing is more than an occupation; it is an intrinsic way of life, a cultural identity, and a generational practice. Community members assert that ‘while others go to school to learn a profession, we are born with ours’. Guet Ndar fishers possess exceptional indigenous seafaring expertise and artisanal fishing skills that underscore their claim as the best fishers in Senegal. Yet, this way of life and livelihood asset is severely threatened by climate-induced mobility challenges and restrictive maritime governance. For example, the artificial breaching of the Langue de Barbarie dune at the Senegal River mouth in 2003, initially intended to mitigate flooding, has instead disrupted traditional fishing routes, intensified dangerous sea conditions, and caused significant economic and non-economic losses. In addition, restricted access to traditional fishing grounds due to territorial boundaries in Mauritanian waters and new gas extraction platforms at an once a very fertile fishing site aggravate the fishers’ challenges. This paper combines empirical data from participatory fieldwork, interviews, and focus groups in Guet Ndar to highlight the unique intersection of climate mobility, cultural heritage, and climate-induced loss and damage. We argue the need for inclusive climate governance frameworks that recognize and support the adaptive mobility practices of the fishers as not merely an economic necessity but also an essential cultural heritage that is worth preserving.

Exploring the Mobility Impacts of Climate Mitigation Strategies 

Presenter: Mary Potts, adelphi global gGmbH Cancelled

Abstract

Voluntary migration can serve as a key adaptation strategy for individuals and communities to reduce their vulnerability to climate impacts. But other forms of mobility — including forced displacement and planned relocation — often give rise to human rights violations and conflict. In all cases, mobility can pose specific challenges to both moving and receiving communities, including strain on local resources and intercommunal tensions. While these dynamics have been relatively well-explored in the context of voluntary migration as a form of climate adaptation, less attention has been paid to the mobility impacts associated with climate mitigation strategies. This article aims to fill this gap by looking at the case of land-based carbon removal credit schemes, which are growing in prevalence as a climate change mitigation approach globally. It argues for the need to integrate conflict sensitivity into the design of climate mitigation interventions by exploring how improperly managed carbon credit schemes can displace local communities and Indigenous Peoples, especially in areas with contested land tenure. Practical examples are pulled from peatland rewetting and conservation schemes in Indonesia and forest management schemes in Kenya to capture the interplay between climate mitigation, land use competition and mobility impacts in practice. The article concludes with recommendations on integrating conflict sensitivity and equity considerations into carbon credit design, as well as minimising reliance on carbon credits through deep emission reduction efforts.

Lost in negotiations? Conflicting discourses on climate change and human mobility in international climate politics: From Marrakech (2016) to Baku (2024)

Presenter: Alina Kaltenberg, University of Augsburg

Abstract

Climate-related (im)mobility has gained prominence in international climate negotiations under the UNFCCC. The issue is framed as one of adaptation, protection or loss and damage. This paper analyses the competing discourses from 2016 to 2024, highlighting changes over time and revealing the multiple possibles and impossibles of climate (im)mobility governance. Our discourse analysis is informed but not limited by the discursive climate (im)mobility literature, which distinguishes between three discourses: migrants as security threats, vulnerable populations, or adaptive agents. Recent scholarship incorporates decolonial and feminist perspectives, exposing colonial biases, and inequalities inherent in (im)mobility governance. We analyse a sample of key UNFCCC documents, including advocacy documents by relevant actors e.g. IOM, UNHCR and PDD intended to influence the negotiation texts. Moreover, the research draws on participant observation and qualitative interviews carried out by team members at the UNFCCC COPs from 2016 to 2024. Using Mitchell Dean’s governmentality framework, we reveal especially neoliberal modes of rendering the issue governable. Preliminary results show competing conceptualizations of climate (im)mobility which struggle with each other over time. Within the UNFCCC, climate (im)mobility has long been framed as a form of loss and damage. In contrast, many organisations continue to emphasise climate-induced migration and planned relocation as adaptation strategies. The securitizing discourse linking migration to national security persists outside the UNFCCC but is less present in technical debates surrounding negotiations. Additionally, Island states are advocating for a “right to stay”, rejecting mobility altogether. We conclude by discussing the political implications of this discursive landscape.

Climate crisis and human mobilities in the Andean countries: insights from six case in Perú, Bolivia and Ecuador 

Presenter: Jorge Forero, Latin American Faculty of Social Sciences

Abstract

This paper presents the preliminary findings of a research project led by the Latin American Faculty of Social Sciences – Ecuador, and the Latin American Network of Social Studies for Disaster Prevention. The project involves four rural communities in the Andean highlands and two urban settlements, one located in the Amazon rainforest and the other on the Pacific coast.

The research used an intersectional and participatory approach. Data collection was carried out using qualitative techniques that included more than 110 in-depth interviews, six participatory mapping workshops, and 12 focus groups. Data analysis is almost complete. Some of the main findings to date are as follows:

– In the six communities studied, human (in)mobilities associated with climate change are shaped by multicausality, where long-term socio-historical dynamics play a major role through the configuration of the vulnerabilities that lie behind them.

– Long-term socio-historical dynamics—like colonialism—play a major role in the configuration of the vulnerabilities behind human (in)mobilities associated with climate change.

– Human (in)mobilities of rural communities in the Andean Region are currently subject to radical reconfiguration shaped by the convergence of extractivism and the effects of climate change.

– The economic effects of climate change are threatening small-scale peasantry, increasing migration of the rural youth to urban areas and threatening the food sovereignty of the Andean countries

– Existing vulnerabilities often lead poor inmigrants to settle in urban areas that are highly exposed to treats associated with climate change.

P4D

CLIMATE (IM)MOBILITY IMPACTS & OUTCOMES

Climate, Mobilities & Conflict

Session chaired by:

Benjamin Etzold

Bonn International Centre for Conflict Studies

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11:00 - 12:30

Saal zweigeteilt (1)

Climate impacts on migration intensify – armed conflict at the destination sometimes followed

Presenter: Barbora Šedová, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)

Abstract

Climate-related migration is often debated as a conflict risk factor, despite mixed evidence. This study examines the climate-migration relationship through environmental and non-environmental (economic, political, demographic, and social) drivers, and the potential conflict implications of climate migration. It applies an expert assessment, engaging 18 experts, representing a range of relevant knowledge, disciplines, and methodologies. We find that climate events, including extreme weather events and slow-onset processes, primarily drive migration and, less frequently, immobility. These impacts are mainly mediated by non-environmental, predominantly economic, drivers, and only marginally directly through environmental drivers. As warming progresses, climate migration will increase, with economic, political (including conflict), and environmental drivers becoming more influential, possibly due to climate and societal tipping points and adaptation limits. So far, climate migration has sometimes affected conflicts at destinations, with increases significantly outnumbering decreases. Further warming may make conflict both a more likely driver and a consequence of climate migration.Climate-related migration is often debated as a conflict risk factor, despite mixed evidence. This study examines the climate-migration relationship through environmental and non-environmental (economic, political, demographic, and social) drivers, and the potential conflict implications of climate migration. It applies an expert assessment, engaging 18 experts, representing a range of relevant knowledge, disciplines, and methodologies. We find that climate events, including extreme weather events and slow-onset processes, primarily drive migration and, less frequently, immobility. These impacts are mainly mediated by non-environmental, predominantly economic, drivers, and only marginally directly through environmental drivers. As warming progresses, climate migration will increase, with economic, political (including conflict), and environmental drivers becoming more influential, possibly due to climate and societal tipping points and adaptation limits. So far, climate migration has sometimes affected conflicts at destinations, with increases significantly outnumbering decreases. Further warming may make conflict both a more likely driver and a consequence of climate migration.

To Move or Stay? Migration Intentions Amid Conflict and Climate Change

Presenter: Roman Hoffmann, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)

 

Abstract

Many conflict-affected regions worldwide also face severe climate change impacts, exacerbating insecurities and competition over scarce resources. The interplay between climate and conflict creates a compound risk, disrupting livelihoods and well-being while influencing human mobility in complex ways. Depending on the intensity and co-occurrence of these shocks, mobility may be either spurred or suppressed, potentially trapping populations in place. Despite the significance of overlapping climatic and conflict-related stressors, research on their joint impact on mobility and immobility remains limited. To address this gap, we examine how combined exposure to conflict and climatic shocks shapes migration intentions, using data from the Arab Barometer (2010–2022) and Latinobarómetro (1995–2020) surveys. Our dataset includes 80,058 respondents from 15 Middle Eastern and North African countries and 378,423 respondents from 18 Latin American countries. By integrating these data with georeferenced information on climate extremes and conflict occurrences, we assess how exposure to compound stressors influences mobility and immobility over time. Preliminary findings suggest that both climatic factors and conflict drive migration intentions in both regions, with their interaction shaping (im)mobility patterns. Moreover, responses to these stressors vary across socioeconomic groups, leading to distinct mobility trajectories following an event. These results underscore the need for a nuanced understanding of climate-conflict interactions and provide insights for policies aimed at addressing risks in climate- and conflict-affected regions.

White Phosphorus, Displacement, and the Precarity of Return in South Lebanon

Presenter: Yasmine Fakhry, Lebanese American University

Abstract

The recent escalation of conflict between Israel and Lebanon since October 2023 has led to widespread displacement and severe environmental and socioeconomic consequences. Among the most devastating factors is the use of white phosphorus (WP) munitions, which have caused extensive agricultural destruction, long-term soil and water contamination, and significant disruptions to food security and livelihoods in South Lebanon. This study examines the direct and indirect pathways through which WP-induced environmental degradation contributes to forced displacement, analyzing whether displacement is temporary or permanent based on the extent of damage to agricultural production and living conditions. The research also investigates how WP contamination intensifies existing vulnerabilities, limiting return prospects for displaced populations and exacerbating Lebanon’s already precarious food security situation. Through an interdisciplinary approach combining environmental analysis, policy review, and qualitative data from affected communities, this study highlights the urgent need for mitigation strategies to prevent long-term displacement and safeguard food security in conflict-affected regions. To what extent does environmental degradation caused by white phosphorus munitions act as a driver of forced displacement in South Lebanon, and how does it shape return dynamics for displaced populations?

Climate Mobilities as Adaptation Strategy: Analysing Peace Potential and Conflict Risks in Pakistan’s Climate Change-Affected Regions

Presenter: Nadia Ali, Bonn International Centre for Conflict Studies (bicc)

Abstract

As climate change impacts intensify, human mobility is increasingly recognised as a key adaptation strategy, yet its implications for peace and conflict remain insufficiently explored. Existing literature lacks a systematic framework to assess how various forms of “climate mobilities”—including adaptive migration, forced displacement, planned relocation, and immobility—shape peace and conflict dynamics, particularly in empirical contexts. This study addresses this gap by offering an analytical framework that examines climate mobilities through a peace and conflict lens, focusing on the regions of Gilgit-Baltistan and South Punjab in Pakistan. Drawing on a comprehensive review of state-of-the-art literature, this study proposes a “climate mobilities–conflict matrix” to assess the risks and peacebuilding potential across the spectrum of climate-induced mobilities. This analytical tool seeks to offer a tool for policymakers and researchers to better understand the complexities of climate mobilities and the associated conflict risk and peacebuilding potential, thereby, laying the foundation for more informed and context-sensitive climate adaptation strategies.

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12:30 – 14:00

Evangelischer Kirchenkreis

Lunch Break

Lunch will be served at the venue in Foyer vom Saal, with vegetarian and vegan options available.
Standing tables will be set up in Saal Zweigeteilt (1) near the balcony. You are also welcome to use any other available seating during the lunch break. Please return your dishes to the designated collection area located in Foyer vom Saal. Thank you!

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14:00 - 15:30

PARALLEL WORKSHOP SESSION (W2)

The workshop sessions differ in format and setup from the regular presentation sessions. Three of the eight workshops are organized by ECMN workstreams, which look at climate (im)mobilities through the lens of Gender, Health, and Media, Representations & Narratives, and five workshops result from workshop proposals submitted by conference participants. Please click on each workshop description for more details.

W2A

Gender and environmental mobilities: Theorising and agenda-setting – Workstream Meeting

CONVENERS:

Lore Van Praag (Erasmus University Rotterdam)
Dani Paredes Grijalva (University of Vienna)
Jodie van de Riet (PRINTEMPS Laboratory (UVSQ/CNRS)

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14:00 - 15:30

Konferenzraum

Description

This session is designed as a collaborative space for participants to shape our collective work and engage in theoretical dialogue.

We will begin by focusing on agenda-setting for our workstream. This initial part is dedicated to getting to know each other, understanding participants’ specific needs and interests within the field, and collaboratively planning potential activities and events for the coming year. We will also discuss how best to structure ourselves and define various roles within the workstream to achieve our shared goals effectively.

Following this phase, we will move into theorising. Here, our aim is to collectively build and refine analytical frameworks to explore the complex ways in which gender and gendered dimensions of migration are shaped by and related to climate and environmental change. This will involve engaging with and building upon existing theoretical perspectives, such as feminist political ecology (Vigil 2024), and reflecting on key overview studies (Castillo & Zickgraf 2024) and relevant literature (see, for example, Lama, Hamza and Wester, 2021). The workshop thus offers a space for both practical workstream planning and engaged theoretical development in this vital research area.

W2B

Climate, Human (Im)mobility and Health – Workstream Meeting

CONVENERS:

Robert Oakes (UNU-EHS)
Ann-Christine Link (UNU-EHS)

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14:00 - 15:30

Saal zweigeteilt (1)

Description

The workstream “Climate, Human (Im)mobility, and Health” aims to provide space for researchers working on or interested in the nexus of climate, human (im)mobility, and health. This workstream covers all connections between the three elements of the nexus, not just how climate influences mobility and health but, for example, also how health impacts human (im)mobility in the context of climate or how climate impacts the well-being of people who have moved or are immobile. For us, health involves both physical and mental health as well as the wider health sector. Human (im)mobility includes migration, displacement, planned relocation, and immobility. By analyzing these intersections, the workstream aims to inform policies that can mitigate adverse health outcomes and support adaptive strategies for vulnerable groups affected by climate-driven (im)mobility, such as those defined by age or gender. This holistic approach contributes towards a more comprehensive understanding of how climate change reshapes human (im)mobility and health landscapes, ultimately contributing to more resilient and healthy societies. This will be the first event of the workstream in which we will map out ECMN members’ expertise and interests and we will emerge with concrete plans for collaboration.

 

W2C

Visualising climate (im)mobilities

Conveners:

Sophia Brown (Durham University)
David Durand-Delacre (UNU-EHS)
Elena Giacomelli (Bologna University)

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14:00 - 15:30

Saal zweigeteilt (2)

Description

The Media representations, narratives and visual aesthetics of climate (im)mobilities workstream brings together ECMN members interested in the representational politics and narratives of climate mobilities. In particular, we are concerned about the impact that media narratives have and how it might be possible to move beyond the persistent sensationalist and inaccurate portrayals of a world where climate change and mass migration are inevitably linked and something to be feared.

This workshop focuses on visual representations. Much has been made of problematic discourses and images, but what is less clear is how to develop more accurate and positive visual representations of climate mobilities. We seek representations that acknowledge the severity and seriousness of climate mobility challenges, but also emphasise the resilience, rights, and agency of affected people.

In the first half of the workshop, participants will separate in groups to discuss a selection of visual materials created by ECMN members (videos, photos, and cartoons), based on a few guiding questions. In a second part, the session will bring all the groups together for a moderated discussion and Q&A, featuring panelists who have been working with these visual methods. They will share their insights about the challenges and value of these approaches, whether for research, communication, or advocacy.

W2D

More than Land: Relocation and human and more-than-human Communities

Conveners:

Giovanna Gini (Kings College London)
Beatriz Felipe Pérez (CEDAT-URV)
Jorge Enrique Forero (FLACSO Sede Ecuador)
Daniela Paredes Grijalva (University of Vienna)
Hanne Wiegel (Center for Climate and Resilience Research CR2)

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14:00 - 15:30

CLUBRAUM

Description

In an era marked by accelerating climate change, policy discussions increasingly incorporate planned relocations as part of the broader spectrum of human mobility strategies. Yet, these discussions often neglect the holistic well-being of communities—economic, spiritual, and social—and fail to account for diverse ontologies and non-humans actors. This workshop proposes a pilot training that foregrounds ethical considerations in the relocation process, ensuring that both human and non-human communities are respected and integrated.

Participants will engage in interactive group exercises and story line analyses to critically assess the multifaceted challenges, ethical dilemmas, and power dynamics inherent in relocation processes. Drawing upon real case studies from Latin America, the workshop provides a platform for participants to understand the analytical and practical skills needed for managing relocation scenarios. By co-constructing knowledge, facilitators and participants, regardless of background, will explore two contrasting mobility poles: one where consensus supports ethical relocation, and another where alternative options are pursued when consensus is absent.

Central to both approaches is a commitment to climate justice and mobility justice, underpinned by a human rights framework. This workshop aims not only to reveal the limitations of current relocation practices but also to inspire innovative solutions that prioritize community participation, safeguard diverse ontologies, and ensure a balanced consideration of both human and non-human interests. By fostering a collaborative learning environment, this pilot training seeks to contribute meaningfully to the development of understanding that promote ethical, just, and inclusive relocation practices in the context of climate change.

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15:30 - 16:00

Evangelischer Kirchenkreis

Coffee Break

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16:00 - 17:30

parallel presentation session (P5)

4 parallel sessions made up of 3 – 4 presentations.
Each panelist takes the floor for 10 minutes, followed by 40 minutes of Q&A.

P5A

CLIMATE (IM) MOBILITY DRIVERS

Qualitative Analysis of (im)mobility drivers

Session chaired by:

Bishawjit Mallick

Utrecht University

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16:00 - 17:30

Konferenzraum

Addressing the livelihood vulnerabilities of the environmental migrants by capability approach: A study in Sundarban region of India 

Presenter: Tirtha Ghosh, Visva-Bharati University

Abstract

Sundarban Delta region of India and Bangladesh is considered one of the most vulnerable regions, where multiple climatic events—such as sea-level rise, cyclones, inland floods, and river erosion—intertwine with existing socio-economic vulnerabilities, continuously affecting people’s livelihood assets, options, and opportunities, and in one way or another forcing people to move from this area permanently or temporarily as an adaptive measure. This research incorporates the Capability Approach to understand and address the livelihood situation of environmental migrants more holistically and to recommend the required capability development and policy measures for both the individual and government levels.

This qualitative research uses case studies and focus group discussions to understand people’s livelihood vulnerabilities. For the analysis part, thematic analysis was done with the help of manual coding of the qualitative data. The results show a clear relationship between the physical environment and migration decision-making, as migrants possess high physical and socio-economic vulnerabilities, and in one way, these vulnerabilities forced these people to migrate.

This research recommends that environmental migrants should possess Physical Safety and Health Capability, Economic and Livelihood Diversification Capability, Educational and Skill Development Capability, and Political and Legal Empowerment Capability to increase their functioning and choice in securing the adaptive path. This study also illustrates the role of government and individual agency in transforming these capabilities into improved life outcomes.

Questions of Migration, Displacement and Climate: Case of Udaipur’s waterscape 

Presenter: Neha Singh, Independent Researcher

Abstract

Vectors of access to resources and resource depletion has historically been a driving factor for migration specially in fragile ecosystems. This has become more glaring in the context of environmental related mobility/ immobility. This paper maps the flows of water and migration in the semi-arid hinterlands of Udaipur, Rajasthan where multiple water transfer schemes are operating. It attempts to understand how slow onset events like droughts and water scarcity can be productive handles to trace the complex and overlapping connections between migration, displacement and socio-economic vulnerabilities in relation to environmental change. Using the vantage point of water transfer this paper delves into the nexus between small dam construction, displacement and migration. The threat to livelihood, land and resources led to a conflict between the communities and the state presenting a complex scenario of resource appropriation between the rural and urban. This paper extensively uses qualitative methods like in-depth interviews, focused group discussions, and participation observation method with multiple stakeholders (farmers, displaced people, leaders of the struggle, bureaucrats, and experts) as well as grey literature to trace the struggle, migration patterns and resettlement process. Indeed, the migration/ (im)mobility continuum with varied patterns emerge in this hinterland illustrating exacerbated vulnerabilities, deepened societal fissures and reinforcing systematic inequalities in adivasis, and marginalized communities in this area. Tracing the connections, interlinkages and interdependence between resources and migration within this fragile eco system of Aravallis, it is elucidated that these interactions shape migration/immobility decisions and also gets shaped through the varied practices.

Examining the link between health vulnerabilities from air pollution and internal migration in southwest Iran

Presenter: Saeede Mokhtarzade, FAU University (Erlangen, Germany)

Abstract

Increasing air pollution, dust storms, and climate change are causing serious environmental degradation in southwest Iran, especially in Khuzestan province and Ahvaz city. Numerous respiratory and cardiovascular conditions have increased due to these environmental factors, among other serious effects on public health. This study examines the relationship between deteriorating air quality and internal migration, emphasizing the human rights aspects particularly the right to health and a safe living environment. This study uses a qualitative research methodology to critically examine environmental reports, policy documents, and legal regulations, to investigate how health vulnerabilities caused by air pollution impact increasing movements in recent years. The research highlights the impacts on marginalised communities, particularly low-income households and ethnic minorities, who experience limited sources and adaptive capacities and systematic neglect. The findings demonstrate that the degradation of environmental quality in Khuzestan is not only an ecological or health crisis; it also demonstrates a human rights crisis that includes involuntary migration. Since existing legal frameworks and policies are insufficient in offering sufficient protection and assistance for internally displaced people, impacted populations are left in a state of legal limbo following this crisis. Therefore, this research concludes a necessary and urgent comprehensive policy reform that addresses the legal gaps to ensure the protection of the right to health and the environmental justice, by implementing sustainable measures and legally binding remedies for vulnerable communities in this region.

Uncovering micro-mobility in Senegal: short-distance movements and community strategies in a changing climate 

Presenter: Marion Borderon, University of Vienna

Abstract

Recent research has confirmed the importance of micro-mobility – understood as very short-term movements lasting a few days to a few weeks – and temporary migration – lasting less than 6 months – as essential socio-economic responses to environmental stress. However, these movements are still largely understudied and underestimated, partly because they are difficult to measure and often invisible in traditional surveys. In Senegal, the scale of these mobility patterns has recently been uncovered by the analysis of 3 years of mobile phone call detail record (CDR) data, which revealed the existence of large temporary population movements, measured by the number of stays of between 20 and 180 days away from the main residence. In order to shed light on this unprecedented mapping of internal mobility derived from CDRs, a field study based on expert interviews, focus group discussions, and individual interviews was carried out in localities that are vulnerable to environmental and climatic risks and experience important and variable mobility flows. We will present the initial results of this survey, carried out in December 2024, on temporary migration and micro-mobility in Thiaroye-sur-Mer – a coastal municipality in the Dakar conurbation whose livelihood is largely based on fishing and the processing and trading of fish products – and Ngoye – a rural community in the groundnut basin whose activities are dominated by the cultivation of rain-fed groundnuts.

P5B

DIVERSE CLIMATE (IM)MOBILITIES

Planned Relocation II – Rights

Session chaired by:

Carolien Jacobs

Leiden University 

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16:00 - 17:30

Saal zweigeteilt (2)

Climate Displaced People in Latin America – Analysis of Cases of Judicialization, Political Omissions and Pathways to Confront the Crisis in the Case of Indigenous and Traditional Populations

Presenter: Marília Papaléo, South American Network for Environmental Migrations – RESAMA

Abstract

The climate emergency directly affects the ability of those belonging to traditional communities and indigenous peoples to maintain their livelihoods around the world, and especially in Latin America. In fact, indigenous communities and populations in Central America have already been displaced by disasters – with no chance of return – and traditional communities in South America have had to litigate their right to relocation in order to continue existing in their own territories. Although all forced displacement implies a community rupture, vulnerabilities in these cases are exacerbated, since the spiritual, religious and cultural ties of these communities to their territories can also lead to a rupture of identity. In this context, this study proposes to analyze the legal, judicial and political initiatives, measures adopted and protections aimed at the climate immobility of traditional populations in three case studies, namely the case of Cananeia (Brazil), Cartí Sugdup Island (Panama) and the El Bosque community (Southern Mexico). The comparative analysis seeks to identify not only the protections that exist in the countries that host these populations, but also (i) how each of the cases developed, (ii) when it became a concern at the national/governmental level, (iii) how the judicialization of the cases impacted the developments of the guarantees given and (iv) how cultural rights were – or were not – recognized by the different States in a context of climate crisis. The aim is to assess the recognition of the cultural dimension in climate (Im)mobility.

Planned Relocation in the Context of Disasters and Climate Change and the Right to Participation

Presenter: Florien van Weerelt, Platform on Disaster Displacement

Abstract

The proposed paper focuses on the right to participation in processes of planned relocation in the context of disasters and climate change. Taking an analytical and policy stance, it explores how the right to participation applies to and plays a role in planned relocation processes. In doing so, it seeks to contribute to the growing body of literature on planned relocation and human rights.

The paper begins with a conceptual section introducing planned relocation as a distinct form of human mobility. It then examines the right to participation in international law and policy. Given that the right to participation is primarily held by individuals, with certain groups holding collective rights, the paper explores the relationship between individual and collective rights in planned relocation processes. It also considers the right to participation in relation to the concept of community engagement, recognizing that communities are heterogeneous groups of people with diverse interests and inherent power relations.

The paper then analyzes to what extent the right to participation is incorporated and reflected in policies on planned relocation from different regions. It assesses what implications this has for affected individuals and communities, including challenges and opportunities for implementation. Finally, it asks what planned relocation policy and practice can learn, exploring how it can both benefit from and strengthen the right to participation.

The paper underscores the importance of a human rights-based approach to planned relocation, highlighting how meaningful and inclusive participation can contribute to better outcomes for affected populations.

Planning for just relocations in Europe in times of climate change: a comparative study

Presenter: Elisa Calliari, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis

Abstract

Planned relocation is gaining traction as a preventive adaptation measure to ensure the safety of people in the face of climate change impacts. While the logistical and technical challenges of planned relocation are documented in the literature, its justice implications have only recently received attention and have barely been investigated empirically. This paper fills this gap by developing and applying a framework for interrogating how considerations of distributive, corrective, and procedural justice inform the emerging policy and practice of planned relocation in Europe. It delves into four case studies in the context of coastal and riverine flooding: the top-down plans for community relocations in Portugal; the buy-out scheme for the voluntary relocation of households in Italy; the relocation of neighbourhoods via zoning regulations coupled with financial incentives in Austria; and the plans for decommissioning the village of Faribourne in the United Kingdom. The paper shows that utilitarian understandings of distributive justice dominate the framing of relocation policies at the national and regional levels, with cost-benefit reasoning guiding decisions. However, it also finds that alternative notions of distributive justice come into play when moving to the households and community level, suggesting that different criteria can coexist across scales. On procedural justice, findings reaffirm the importance of stakeholder engagement for the success of relocation projects, but also detect an over-reliance on technical assessments for decision-making which marginalises local knowledge. The article contributes to move from conceptual discussions around justice to the practical implications they have on communities adapting to a changing climate.

Proposing Relocation as a tool of Inclusive Rehabilitation & Resettlement encompassing socio-economic & ecological restoration.

Presenter: Ranjan Panda, Water Initiatives, India and Steering Group Member, Climate Migration & Displacement Platform – CMDP

Abstract

Human mobility is relatively common in communities who are in climate hotspots. Climate change impacts on the local land and other common proper resources, impacting thereby lives, livelihoods and cultures, forces people to move out of their geographies/habitations. These mobility patterns are of various forms: forced yet temporary, forced forever, voluntary but forced by factors that cannot be tackled, so on and so forth. In this presentation we will deal with people who have been forced to be displaced forever and are backed with no law to be compensated in a just and inclusive manner. In the Bay of Bengal, like many other places on Earth, climate change induced displacement has emerged as a key challenge for the people and policy makers alike. While rapid disasters such as cyclones and floods attract more attention of the humanitarian communities as well as policy makers, the slow onset disasters caused by climate change force millions of people to misery and most of it goes unreported. The Bay of Bengal has been infamous for being the cyclone hotbed and also a lot of communities in the Bay states of India are facing sea-level rise induced displacement. Some of them have been relocated but a lot remains to be done both in policy and practice. This presentation will present a strategy to make Relocation as a tool to provide just and inclusive rehabilitation & resettlement to these vulnerable communities that take cares of socio-economic, cultural and ecological restoration in the Bay of Bengal.

P5C

GOVERNANCE

Legal Perspectives

Session chaired by:

Steven Miron

University of London

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16:00 - 17:30

Clubraum

Building Resilience: Legal and Policy Approaches to Climate Migration – A Case Study of India

Presenter: Ragini Rajbhor, Central University of Karnataka, India

Abstract

Climate migration, driven by environmental changes and extreme weather events, presents an urgent challenge to mitigate the impact of such events. It requires a robust legal and policy response. This paper addresses the complexities of climate migration and the pivotal role of law and policy in addressing these challenges. This paper critically examines India’s Legal and policy response to climate migration, focusing on their efficacy in addressing migration, rehabilitation and long-term adaptation. It is interesting to note that the country doesn’t have direct legislation to address climate migration, but a number of the acts, policies and government schemes that indirectly address the impact of climate migration, such as the Disaster Management Act of 2005, National Rehabilitation and resettlement policy, 2007 and Pradhan Mantri Awas Yojana, 2015. It accentuates the necessity for a comprehensive policy that ensures the safe, dignified movement of climate migrants while protecting their rights of resettlement and livelihood and also facilitating integration into new communities. This paper aims to comprehensively explore the interaction between law, policy and climate migration through Legislative Analysis using McClain et al.’s Migration with Dignity Framework. It offers insights and recommendations from the best practices from India for developing adaptive and resilient responses to ensure climate migrants are protected and supported through proactive and well-coordinated legal and policy measures.

Climate Change, Mobility and Legal Frameworks of Riverine Displacement: A case study of Majuli

Presenter: Madhuri Meelee, KIIT School of Law, KIIT University, Bhubaneswar, India

Abstract

Majuli Island is the world’s largest river island and home to the indigenous people of Assam located in the northeastern region of India. It is one of the most vulnerable areas affected by climate induced flooding and erosion. This study examines the complex relationship between climate change, human mobility, and legal frameworks affecting Majuli’s inhabitants. Adopting an interdisciplinary approach combining environmental anthropology and legal analysis, this research investigates mobility responses ranging from temporary seasonal relocation to permanent displacement. The study focuses on traditional adaptive strategies and forced climate-induced displacement, examining how indigenous knowledge systems intersect with formal legal frameworks. While previous research has documented Majuli’s physical transformation and land loss with anthropological literature exploring traditional adaptation strategies, limited research integrates these perspectives for river island communities experiencing fluctuating mobility patterns. Presently India lacks national policy frameworks for internally displaced people, leaving climate-affected populations in a protection vacuum when relocating within national borders. This study employs ethnographic fieldwork among displaced communities alongside analysis of relevant legal frameworks at local, national, and international levels. Findings will address protection gaps for populations falling outside conventional migration categories while respecting cultural heritage and agency in mobility decisions. This research contributes to theoretical understandings of climate mobility and practical legal solutions while broadening discussions on climate justice and indigenous rights applicable to vulnerable communities worldwide.

Is the CBDR-RC principle applicable in providing a protection to climate change-induced migrants? 

Presenter: Tugce Nur Caya, Coventry University

Abstract

From a human rights perspective (Scott, 2018), there is no explicit international entitlement to enter or remain in a country specifically due to climate-induced migration, except for the protections offered by international human rights law, such as the fundamental principle of non-refoulment, which applies to refugees (Aranilla and Rada, 2020). An examination of the global legal framework for climate-induced migration and discourse on potential avenues of state responsibilities are necessary to address the existing gaps in legal protection. The principle of Common but Differentiated Responsibilities and Respective Capabilities (CBDR-RC) is highly significant in the context of climate change. However, the precise provisions governing the implementation of this principle in international conventions are ambiguous. Developed states fail to demonstrate their acknowledgement of the CBDR-RC principle, which includes the responsibility to provide bilateral assistance to developing countries in addressing climate-induced migration. This situation may pose future challenges, as the potential rise in climate-induced migration (IPCC, 2022) could disproportionately burden poor developing nations with the responsibility of managing climate migrants.

This paper aims to present a clearer understanding of the relationship between the CBDR-RC principle and climate-induced migration. In addition, it will focus on how a relationship can be established between the responsibilities of states in the context of protecting climate migrants and the CBDR principle. By establishing a connection between international environmental law and strategies for international collaboration, this understanding can aid in the promotion of global justice.

International environmental displacement: could soft law fill the legal protection void?  

Presenter: Vitória Dell’Aringa Rocha, Business and Human Rights Resource Centre (BHRRC) and The Climate Mobility Community Action Network (CMCAN)

Abstract

The UN estimates that by 2050, 200 million individuals will be displaced due to environmental degradation and disasters. According to the Secretary General of the United Nations, we are experiencing “the era of global boiling”. Therefore, it is imperative that the international community quickly and effectively mobilises to protect the rights of environmentally displaced persons (EDPs).

International Law (IL), however, lacks instruments and a consensus on how and under the scope of which legislation EDPs are/should be protected, creating a “legal protection void”. Those who find themselves in the most severe legal void, not being protected by the Refugee Convention nor for instruments concerning internally displaced persons, are the EDPs who cross international borders. There are two kinds of solutions that the international community can pursue to fill this void: hard law initiatives, legally binding norms, or soft law, the norms, principles and procedures that are outside the formal sources of IL and that cannot create legally enforceable rights and obligations.

My work aims to assess to what extent soft law initiatives are an adequate and feasible solution to fill the legal void related to the protection of EDPs who cross international borders and what would be the advantages and disadvantages of this approach. To accomplish this goal, it analyses the benefits and downsides of hard law solutions to the issue, following with assessments on how soft law has been contributing to international human rights law, international environmental law and to the international climate change regime.

P5D

CLIMATE (IM)MOBILITY IMPACTS & OUTCOMES

Governance for adaptive forms of mobility

Session chaired by:

Susan Ekoh

German Institute of Development and Sustainability (IDOS)

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16:00 - 17:30

Saal zweigeteilt (1)

Great Caribbean Shifts – The Greater Caribbean Climate Mobility Report (subtitle: Enabling People Positive Adaptation Journeys in the Greater Caribbean) 

Presenter: Sarah Rosengaertner, Global Centre for Climate Mobility (GCCM)

Abstract

Although the Greater Caribbean has contributed little to the climate crisis, the region is among the most vulnerable to climate change. The report documents how people across the region experience and respond to the impacts of climate change today, and how these experiences may shape their present and future decisions to move. Based on fieldwork in 13 climate mobility hotspots across 6 countries in the region, findings confirm that climate change is affecting physical and mental health, livelihoods, food security, and traditional mobility patterns. Although 40% of respondents indicate that climate impacts could influence future mobility decisions, most people prefer adapting in place. Migration or relocation tend to be seen as a forced departure from home rather than a voluntary adaptation strategy. The report also includes projections from a general economic equilibrium model that considers movement under different climate scenarios through 2050. The model projects that by 2050, shifting economic opportunities due to climate change could result in up to 8.2 million people in the region moving permanently and up to 6 million becoming immobile. Most movement will occur within national borders, with differing implications for origin and destination communities. To prepare for these changes, the report concludes with an Agenda for Action, which outlines seven key recommendations for governments and partners to address climate-forced displacement and migration and to support community transition across the region for greater collective resilience and prosperity.

Localising and linking human mobility and adaptation planning and implementation: Multi-level governance experiences from Costa Rica, Senegal and Sri Lanka

Presenter: Cristobal Lopez, SLYCAN Trust

Abstract

As countries are working on the implementation of their adaptation priorities, the linkages between national and subnational adaptation planning require strengthening through a process of vertical integration that considers multiple actors at the subnational and local levels. The integration of human mobility in this process can vary depending on countries’ specific multilevel governance system. However, sharing experiences on subnational and sectoral implementation between countries and regions could foster peer learning between policymakers and other national actors, enhancing this process in their countries.

This session aims to explore case studies on the integration of human mobility into adaptation planning and implementation in countries representing different (supranational) regions and contexts. The country case studies briefly highlight country context, existing governance structure, and the integration of human mobility into subnational adaptation planning (local policies, plans, or frameworks), with support from local key actors. For Senegal, a particular focus is given on linkages between the national and subnational level; for Sri Lanka, the focus is on the provincial and national level; and for Costa Rica, the context of local government and communities is explored. Policies at the subnational level tend to drive the national level agenda on human mobility adaptation in these countries.

The session provides a space for an interactive discussion and sharing common challenges and gaps encountered for the effective integration of human mobility at the subnational level in countries analyzed, as well as possible entry points and opportunities (best practices and recommendations) to facilitate this process.

Transcending Boundaries: Navigating Mobility and Persistence in Arid and Degraded Landscapes

Presenter: Kathleen Hermans, Leibniz Institute of Agricultural Development in Transition Economies: Leibniz-Institut fur Agrarentwicklung in Transformationsokonomien

Abstract

Land degradation threatens the livelihoods of millions globally and is often linked to migration and displacement, particularly in low- and middle-income countries. However, the complex interactions between land degradation, climate change, and migration remain poorly understood. The TransMoP project aims to fill this critical knowledge gap by adopting an environmental mobilities perspective to examine how environmental and non-environmental drivers interact in shaping mobility and immobility. This interdisciplinary project will employ a cross-country and data-rich approach, integrating geospatial analysis, quantitative household surveys, and qualitative participatory methods. Focusing on Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan—regions heavily affected by land degradation and water scarcity—the project will (1) assess environmental stressors through geospatial data, (2) analyze migration patterns and their drivers using household surveys, and (3) explore the causal linkages between land degradation, climate change, and migration through qualitative research. By moving beyond the predominant focus on climate change as an environmental driver of migration, TransMoP will generate novel insights into the role of land degradation in shaping mobility decisions. As TransMoP has recently been approved but is yet to begin, this presentation will outline the project’s conceptual framework, methodology, and anticipated contributions, providing a platform for discussing key challenges, refining research approaches, and engaging with scholars and policymakers interested in environmental change and migration governance.

Conference Dinner

More information and to register (registrations close 27 June): Here

 

enjoy Bonn

End of the Day 

 

Day 3 | THURSDAY 10 July

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09:00 - 10:30

parallel presentation session (P6)

4 parallel sessions made up of 3 – 4 presentations.
Each panelist takes the floor for 10 minutes, followed by 40 minutes of Q&A.

P6A

CLIMATE (IM) MOBILITY DRIVERS

Place Attachment II

Session chaired by:

Zainab Khalid

University of Bonn

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09:00 - 10:30

Saal zweigeteilt (1)

Voluntary and Involuntary Immobility in the Context of Climate Change: The Role of Community Attachment and Mobility Constraints in Nigeria. 

Presenter: Joseph Inyama, Radboud University

Abstract

This paper takes a nuanced approach to the dynamics of community attachment and involuntary human immobility in the context of climate change-enhanced disasters in Nigeria. Drawing on extensive ethnographic fieldwork conducted in four communities facing the climate change crisis, it employs different ethnographic approaches to provide qualitative data involving youths, community leaders, and policy practitioners to investigate how the increasing severity of climate change threats affects im/mobility-related decision-making processes.

At a structural level, the study results reveal a complex interplay between a strong sense of community attachment and involuntary immobility constraints. Therefore, the paper sheds light on deep-rooted spiritual and religious connections to land, identity, and cultural heritage. Conversely, lack of access to strong migration networks, social categorizations, policy barriers, and psycho-socio constraints resulting in aversion to uncertain migrations to unknown regions also contribute to involuntary immobility outcomes and trapping of vulnerable populations amidst cascading disasters. The study contributes to the broader discourse on displacement in the context of climate change impacts by shedding light on the often-overlooked aspect of voluntary immobility responses, such as resistance to planned relocation during climatic disasters.

The paper thereby argues that understanding the reasons behind the immobility decisions of vulnerable populations during climatic disasters is crucial for developing targeted policies and the effective use of climate finance to scale up adaptation investment in vulnerable settings. The study concludes by advocating for tailored strategies and recommendations that support locale populations and recognizing their emotional bonds to the community and the structural barriers to human immobility.

Adapting to climate change by connecting people, places and policies: a case study in Nepal

Presenter: Binaya Pasakhala, International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development

Abstract

Climate change impacts are being experienced by mountain communities in their daily life and livelihood choices. Erratic precipitation, rising temperatures, and extreme events are leading to crop failures, increasing uncertainty in tourism enterprises and overall rise in livelihood insecurity. This is providing further impetus for the mountain communities to shift to non-farm and non-local livelihoods, including migrating for work purposes. Mobility and multi-local livelihoods are traditional norms in high mountain communities, as few household members out-migrate during winter, while other members remain in their origin areas. With increasing impacts of a changing climate, the traditional mobility patterns have shifted, along with expansion of migration destination. In this study, we explore these changing mobility patterns and its implications on how community identifies place and sense of belonging. We use mixed method, consisting of household surveys, life histories, group discussions, and multi-stakeholder workshops, to understand and map migration decisions, destinations, and wellbeing implications for migrants and non-migrant populations at origin. The findings show how mobility is an important strategy for adapting to changing climate at household and community scales. Migration of some household members or entire households have helped reduce competition on the limited natural resources such as water and land, making it possible for remaining population to better adapt. Migration has increased the risk-taking capacity and create economic opportunities for in-migrants from nearby areas. By connecting people and places, migration has helped people construct a new sense of place attachment and belonging, thereby creating new opportunities at both origin and destination.

Staying at low-income urban informal settlements despite heat stress 

Presenter: Sultana Ashrafi, Erasmus University Rotterdam

Abstract

Climate change intensifies heat waves globally, disproportionately impacting urban informal settlements like the Korail slum in Dhaka, Bangladesh. Despite extreme heat stress and associated health and livelihood challenges, residents exhibit a strong tendency for non-migration, choosing instead to adapt in place. This chapter explores environmental non-migration as a critical adaptation strategy, drawing from qualitative interviews with slum residents and experts. Findings reveal that non-migration decisions are influenced by livelihood opportunities, place attachment, risk perception, and risk-taking ability, underscoring the complex interplay between socio-economic, cultural, and environmental factors. While non-migration fosters community resilience and resource transformation, it faces barriers such as inadequate infrastructure and unequal access to cooling solutions. Insights contribute to broader climate adaptation discourses, particularly in vulnerable, low-income urban contexts.

Understanding how sea level rise transforms sense of place in European island contexts

Presenter: Geerke Visser, LUT University

Abstract

Within climate change adaptation research, the impact of sea level rise on island communities has been extensively studied (see e.g., Esteban et al. 2019; Thomas and Benjamin 2018). Previous scholarship has emphasized low-income nations and communities that are acutely vulnerable to the impacts of changing sea levels (Rigaud et al. 2018). These studies often focus on the perception of mobility as an adaptation strategy to sea level rise. However, Europe as a context for (future) climate induced mobilities is often neglected. This study aims to contribute to this gap, by exploring how the future threats posed by sea-level rise shape residents´ sense of place and belonging in European island contexts.

Previous studies have focused on the loss of, or changes in identity, sense of belonging and place due to sea-level rise in low-income countries (see Roberts and Andrei 2015). We aim to understand how these phenomena are perceived in resource-rich Europe, which represents a context where on the one hand, mobility is less likely to be seen as a primary adaptation strategy, while on the other hand, the changing sense of place due to sea level rise is already experienced through diverse future anxieties.

The analysis is based on two months of fieldwork conducted in Venice and the Dutch Wadden Islands. In-depth interviews were conducted with various affected populations, including residents, some of whom may be migrants themselves. We aim to expand the academic discussion by including the voices of affected populations in climate mobilities in the European contexts.

P6B

CRITICAL & THEORETICAL ADVANCES

Critical assessments of socio-technical imaginaries

Session chaired by:

David Durand-Delacre

UNU-EHS

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09:00 - 10:30

Clubraum

Between Connections and Inequalities: Climate Mobilities and Governance in the Galápagos Islands

Presenter: Gabriel Redin, Facultad Latinoamericana de Ciencias Sociales, FLACSO-Ecuador

Abstract

The location of the Galapagos Islands makes them particularly vulnerable to climate change, impacting both marine and terrestrial ecosystems. However, these impacts also manifest in various human practices that interact with these ecosystems, from fishing, science, agriculture, tourism, among others. All this takes place within the framework of a National Park “Special Regime” which distinguishes different forms of mobilities: encouraging tourists, permitting scientists, regulating locals and restricting migrants. While the impacts of climate change unfold in a situated setting of the Galápagos, attention to stakeholders reveals the entanglement of multiple scales, seen both in the movement of diverse actors and in the various levels of socio-environmental and climate governance.
As part of my doctoral research project on the Galapagos Islands and drawing from the perspective of the New Mobilities Paradigm, I would like to present a theoretical and methodological approach from the Global South that contributes to broadening perspectives on climate mobilities. On one hand, I seek to explore how with the mobility of actors also circulates different rationalities, sensibilities, and practices, that shapes the ways of knowing and making sense of climate change at the local level. On the other hand, I want to critically examine how the uneven configuration of mobilities intersects with the controversies, negotiations, and arrangements through which climate change becomes a situated object of governance.

Adapting to sea level rise: Media framing on sociotechnical and spatial imaginaries concerning MOSE as a megaproject

Presenter: Henna Kakko, LUT University

Abstract

There is a wide amount of research dealing with sea level rise adaptation measures in low-income countries and small island countries (e.g., McMichael et al., 2021; Mortreux & Barnett 2009; Esteban et al 2019). In the context of Global South, mobility and climate migration are often associated with adapting to sea level rise. We want to contrast this by examining the adaptation and immobility in European context. The resource rich Europe mostly sees sea-level rise adaptation strategy in terms of protection showing strong reliance on technology (see Lebbe et al., 2021; Powell et al., 2019). Technological solutions such as MOSE, i.e. the high-tech experimental moveable barriers system that is capable of sealing off the Venetian Lagoon from the Adriatic Sea (Mel et al., 2021b), are meant to provide protection from sea-level rise.
Media framing on sociotechnical imaginaries and spatial imaginaries, as normative shared meanings related to place, play a central role in building political and public understanding of threats posed by sea-level rise. Sociotechnical imaginaries intertwine with spatial imaginaries building Venice as unique and exceptional in terms of culture and history of which protection from sea-level rise becomes a central national concern. By contrast, when the media discusses sea level rise in other contexts, retreat and accommodation are emphasized.
By using media data, the paper explores how sociotechnical and spatial imaginaries concerning MOSE are configured and framed in a geographical context in the Italian media, producing immobility and othering in relation to global realities.

Knowing through Networks: The Epistemic Politics of Climate Migration and the Emergence of Transnational Municipalism

Presenter: Richard Waters, Cambridge University

Abstract

Climate migration is increasingly governed through implicit and explicit networks. This paper traces the convergence of two phenomena within these networks: transnational municipalism and gravity modelling.

For three decades, a series of statistical models have shaped political claims about future patterns of climate change and migration, and justified anticipatory action in the present. The political lives of these knowledge claims, however have been largely overlooked. Cities, meanwhile, have increasingly seen as both the location of the future problem of climate change migration, and the optimal location for anticipatory governance to manage it – particularly since COP26.

In an approach that builds on disciplines including Science and Technology Studies, Geography and Politics, this paper analyses the epistemic politics of a contemporary climate migration modelling project and its subsequent application in cities in the global south. Drawing on empirical research with modellers, development workers and members of city governments, it analyses how transnational municipal organisations have mobilised knowledge about climate migration to claim agency and reconfigure the scale in which this future problem is anticipated.

For scholars of climate migration, this highlights that understanding the governance of climate migration cannot be reduced to any single existing political logic or scale of governance. Rather, we must instead use the links between power and knowledge to look beyond the border and the nation state, and beyond any single existing political logic such as biopolitics or neoliberalism.

Deconstructing Population 

Presenter: Soumaya Majdoub, VUB Vrije Universiteit Brussel

Abstract

This article employs Carol Bacchi’s ” What’s the Problem Represented to Be?” (WPR) framework to analytically deconstruct the notion of ‘population’ in climate (im)mobilities discussions. Through an extensive critical discourse analysis of policy documents from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, and European Union border agreements, the research questions the racial, gender, and colonial frameworks that inform the depictions of population in climate migration narratives. By methodically exploring Bacchi’s six analytical questions, this study reveals that the unquestioned use of ‘population’ allows to avoid addressing key dimensions of climate (im)mobilities: (1) concealing the essential contribution of fossil fuel capitalism to climate-related displacement, (2) justifying immobilization policies that confine marginalized groups within climate-vulnerable areas, and (3) strengthening hierarchical mobility systems that favour populations in the Global North.
The analysis shows that contemporary population narratives are not impartial demographic accounts, but influential biopolitical instruments that influence mobility management. Drawing from feminist political ecology and Indigenous critical viewpoints, the research proposes to redefine ‘population’ as a disputed field of power dynamics instead of a static demographic classification.
In conclusion, the study promotes a transformative stance on climate (im)mobilities that emphasizes mobility justice, decolonial land relations, and policies for resource redistribution. This paper offers a critical rethinking of population by questioning techno-managerial strategies regarding climate migration, emphasizing the lived experiences of the communities significantly impacted by climate change.

P6C

REPRESENTATIONS

Scenarios and Future Projections

Session chaired by:

Roman Hoffmann

International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) 

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09:00 - 10:30

Saal zweigeteilt (2)

Scenario narratives to explore future migration, climate change and habitability

Presenter: Emily Wright-O’Kelly, adelphi research

Abstract

Two sets of scenarios narratives and an accompanying video series by the EU-funded HABITABLE project examine how changes in the climate and environment are influencing how people perceive the “habitability” of where they live and their decisions about migration. The first set of crisis scenario narratives focus on the impact of severe climate-related shocks in the year 2030 in Ethiopia, Mali, and Ghana, examining potential losses of habitability in order to guide present actions to strengthen resilience. The second set of normative scenario narratives envisions a habitable future in the year 2050 for Ghana, Kenya and Thailand, in spite of intensifying climate change impacts. The scenarios create a history of the future by “backcasting” the developments and policy actions that would be required to realize this future, including a range of robust adaptation, migration and sustainable development policies. By developing plausible scenario narratives for how climate change may shape migration in different contexts, the research team aimed to spark discussions on what policy actions can be taken today and in the near future to reduce the impact of future climate hazards, to protect those most vulnerable, and to increase the resilience of those most exposed. The scenarios were co-developed by adelphi research in collaboration with the HABITABLE in-country teams and other experts from the relevant countries and regions.

Climate-induced redistribution of people is not inevitable

Presenter: Harald Sterly, University of Vienna

Abstract

The question of what to expect in the future drives much of the public and policy discourse surrounding climate migration. While many studies on climate mobilities implicitly include future saspects, they rarely adopt an explicit perspective on futures. There is also limited systematic engagement with how futures are operationalized, contested, and shaped across different strands of climate mobility research and governance. This restricts how deeply human rights, livelihoods, or governance perspectives on climate mobilities can engage with the future, and it impedes productive dialogue with approaches that explicitly do so (eg predictive modeling). Although modeling produces future projections, it often remains weakly grounded in the complex social and political realities that shape human mobility futures. This is exemplified in some authors’ prediction of inevitable global population redistributions due to escalating heat, while others emphasize that there is currently – and in the foreseeable future – no evidence to support this. This contribution therefore seeks to place “future” as a central focus in climate mobility studies. It argues that the diverse, often contradictory, contributions on the futures of climate mobilities frequently talk past each other across multiple dimensions – especially the temporal scale, spatial scale, and mobility types. Drawing on relational future making, the contribution proposes a conceptual framework for the understanding of climate mobilities futures, which integrates four core dimensions of future making – calculating, governing, living, and imagining. The proposed frame facilitates a systematic assessment of climate mobilities futures and enables a productive conversation between diverse perspectives and approaches.

Towards an improved disaster displacement model

Presenter: Magdalena Peter, UNU-EHS

Abstract

Quantifying displacement and building future scenarios through models is key for shaping policy that addresses both the root causes of vulnerability and the needs of displaced people. In this presentation, we introduce research undertaken by UNU MCII Climate Analytics and the Environment and Migration: Interactions and Choices (EMIC) divisions, working with the Internal Displacement Monitoring Centre (IDMC), ETH Zurich, and CIMA Research Foundation on the IDMC Disaster Displacement Risk Model. Our approach integrates state-of-the-art datasets into a probabilistic model approach, enabling us to present a global displacement risk model for several climate and geophysical hazards under different future climate conditions for the middle and end of the century.

Initially, mainly focused on direct housing loss from sudden-onset hazards, the model is now being expanded to refine and include livelihood impacts and systemic vulnerabilities of displacement risk across different hazard types. This phase also explores how these factors influence displacement duration and seeks to integrate mobility aspirations and capabilities, advancing more people-centred, theory-informed risk modeling. As challenges such as limited data and mainstreaming vulnerability modeling across hazards are confronted, the presentation highlights progress toward a more robust disaster displacement model for policy and research.

Towards a systematic understanding of climate mobilities futures. A conceptual proposal

Presenter: Patrick Sakdapolrak, University of Vienna

Abstract

The question of what to expect in the future drives much of the public and policy discourse surrounding climate migration. While many studies on climate mobilities implicitly include future saspects, they rarely adopt an explicit perspective on futures. There is also limited systematic engagement with how futures are operationalized, contested, and shaped across different strands of climate mobility research and governance. This restricts how deeply human rights, livelihoods, or governance perspectives on climate mobilities can engage with the future, and it impedes productive dialogue with approaches that explicitly do so (eg predictive modeling). Although modeling produces future projections, it often remains weakly grounded in the complex social and political realities that shape human mobility futures. This is exemplified in some authors’ prediction of inevitable global population redistributions due to escalating heat, while others emphasize that there is currently – and in the foreseeable future – no evidence to support this. This contribution therefore seeks to place “future” as a central focus in climate mobility studies. It argues that the diverse, often contradictory, contributions on the futures of climate mobilities frequently talk past each other across multiple dimensions – especially the temporal scale, spatial scale, and mobility types. Drawing on relational future making, the contribution proposes a conceptual framework for the understanding of climate mobilities futures, which integrates four core dimensions of future making – calculating, governing, living, and imagining. The proposed frame facilitates a systematic assessment of climate mobilities futures and enables a productive conversation between diverse perspectives and approaches.

P6D

CLIMATE (IM)MOBILITY IMPACTS & OUTCOMES

Vulnerability of people on the move

Session chaired by:

Melissa Siegel

Maastricht University

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09:00 - 10:30

Konferenzraum

Impacts of climate migration through the lens of social determinants of health: a scoping review

Presenter: Polina Koriukina, Ghent University

Abstract

Background: Climate change increasingly drives migration globally, exposing climate migrants to numerous health risks. Despite growing attention to climate-induced migration, the specific health needs of climate migrants—and the barriers and pathways to addressing these needs—remain poorly understood.
Methods: This scoping review aimed to synthesize existing empirical evidence on the health effects of climate-induced migration. We systematically searched three databases (Scopus, PubMed, Web of Science) for empirical studies published between 2010 and 2023. Eligible studies examined health outcomes related to climate-induced migration, regardless of geographic region or study design. A total of 57 studies were included in the final analysis.
Results: Climate migrants experience diverse physical and mental health challenges shaped by the type, duration, and context of their mobility. The strongest knowledge cluster focuses on forced rural-to-urban displacement in Bangladesh, highlighting severe health burdens among migrants living in informal urban settlements. Across contexts, social determinants of health—including poverty, unsafe living conditions, and limited social support—emerge as critical mediators of health outcomes. Vulnerable subgroups, such as women, children, the elderly, ethnic minorities, and individuals with chronic illnesses, face heightened risks. Access to healthcare is consistently hindered by financial, linguistic, geographic, and administrative barriers. Despite these challenges, some studies also describe pathways for improving healthcare access, such as community-based services and culturally sensitive care.
Conclusion: Health outcomes in climate migration are highly context-dependent, and migration itself can function as both adaptive and maladaptive. Targeted, evidence-informed policies are urgently needed to ensure that climate migration supports health adaptation rather than exacerbating health inequities.

Flood Exposure and Risk Assessments in Refugee Camps Using Remote Sensing and Global Datasets – A case study of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan 

Presenter: Qiyamud Din Ikram, Refugees International

Abstract

Climate-induced hazards displace millions every year. Refugees in the Global South have been made      particularly vulnerable to these hazards. However, the scarcity of reliable spatial data and localized risk assessments hinders effective disaster preparedness and response. As the global refugee population has increased over the past decade, more and more refugees are forced to live in camps highly susceptible to hazards, including flooding. Despite this, flood risk in these camps remains poorly understood, leading to a lack of comprehensive guidance for camp planners.

To address this gap, this study evaluates the accuracy of global population (GP) datasets in estimating refugee populations and their flood exposure in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan, which hosts over 718,818 Afghan registered refugees — about 52.7% of the total Afghan registered refugee population in Pakistan. By integrating remote sensing data, satellite imagery, and global datasets—such as population distributions and building footprints—the research develops a methodology for assessing flood exposure and risk, including for extreme flood events such as the 100-year return period flood.

This study addresses how remote sensing and global datasets can bridge data gaps, providing more accurate population estimates and flood risk assessments at the camp level. By comparing global data with ground-truth camp data, the research assesses their applicability in quantifying flood exposure, vulnerability, and overall risk. The findings highlight the potential of remote sensing and global datasets to complement local data, thereby improving flood risk assessments. The study’s findings also      support more effective humanitarian planning, disaster preparedness, and response in data-scarce      settings, to improve the climate resilience of refugee communities.

Keywords: Remote Sensing; Global Population Datasets; Flood Risk Assessment; Refugee Camps;      Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan

Climate Change and Autonomous Futures: Understanding Labour Exploitation Among Communities Driven to Move by Climate Stress

Presenter: Ahmad Ibrahim, School of Advanced Studies, University of London / Bangladesh Legal Aid and Services Trust (BLAST)

Abstract

This paper seeks to understand self-reported rates of off-farm labour exploitation among communities in Bangladesh vulnerable to the effects of climate change. Bangladesh is recognized as one of the countries most vulnerable to the impacts of climate change, which manifests itself through both sudden and slow-onset changes. These climactic hazards disproportionately impact agrarian communities who depend on the soil and water for their livelihood. Being primarily agrarian in nature, Bangladesh’s demographic shift in recent times has been into off-farm work, coupled with rapid and unregulated urbanization. Climactic changes coupled with administrative policies aimed at maximizing on-farm profits, have led to extreme salinity in the Southern coastal areas of the country, significantly reducing potential for crop growth. In the North, intensification of droughts, coupled with heavy river flooding have shortened cultivation windows for farmers. Over time, a growing percentage of young people from households facing these crises are taking on autonomous mobility decisions to seek off farm work. This research is based on data collected from 11,000 households across 11 climate-vulnerable districts of Bangladesh. Through a comprehensive understanding of agricultural profits, experiences of climactic disasters and off-farm employment experiences away from their places of origin, it seeks to understand the complex interaction between climate mobilities, autonomous migration decisions and employment outcomes. In particular, the research looks at the ways in which climate stressors contribute to off-farm mobility pathways, into urban and peri-urban spaces, where unregulated work opportunities hold potential for significant exploitation of already vulnerable individuals.

From Bad to Worse? A Global Analysis of Climate Risks for Displaced Populations

Presenter: Sonja Fransen, International Institute of Social Studies, Erasmus University

Abstract

While research has provided ample evidence on how climate hazards influence migration, less attention has been given to climate risks faced by displaced populations before and during their migration trajectories. This study analyses the climate risks for displaced populations in their origin and destination areas, with a focus on global trends and a detailed case study of Africa—a region hosting large numbers of displaced people and facing severe climate risks. Using the Climate-driven INFORM Risk Index and UNHCR Population Statistics, we evaluate climate risks for IDPs, refugees displaced regionally, and those migrating beyond the continent between 2013 and 2022. Our analysis incorporates three dimensions of climate risk: climate-driven hazard and exposure, socioeconomic vulnerability, and lack of coping capacity. Findings reveal that displacement over shorter distances, such as internal or regional movements, often results in heightened climate risks. In contrast, refugees who migrate further, particularly intercontinentally, are more likely to reach areas with lower climate risks. Additionally, we find that societal factors, such as vulnerability and limited coping capacity in origin and destination countries, outweigh environmental exposure in determining overall climate risks. These trends have intensified over time, with growing numbers of displaced populations originating from and moving to high-risk areas. Our study shifts the focus from migration patterns to the risks faced by displaced populations, highlighting the challenges of vulnerability and institutional shortcomings. These insights underline the need for targeted policies and interventions that address the structural and institutional dimensions of climate risk to better support displaced populations.

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10:30 - 11:00

Evangelischer Kirchenkreis

Coffee Break

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11:00 - 12:30

parallel presentation session (P7)

4 parallel sessions made up of 3 – 4 presentations.
Each panelist takes the floor for 10 minutes, followed by 40 minutes of Q&A.

P7A

DIVERSE CLIMATE (IM)MOBILITIES

Planned Relocation III – Outcomes

Session chaired by:

Ann-Christine Link

UNU-EHS

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11:00 - 12:30

Saal zweigeteilt (1)

The Nexus of Vulnerability and Well-being – A case study on impacts of water scarcity in resettled community

Presenter: Varsha Mini Veronica Jeyaseelan, IHS, Erasmus University Rotterdam

Abstract

Rapid urbanization, climate-induced displacement, and water stress are interlinked challenges shaping the precarious realities of resettled communities. Resettlement often focuses on physical relocation, overlooking the socio-emotional and systemic inequities that perpetuate cycles of vulnerability. In cities like Chennai, where water scarcity intersects with flood-induced displacement, these gaps become even more pronounced, underscoring the need for integrative planning and adaptive governance. Moreover, climate-induced displacement not only exacerbates challenges in accessing resources but intensifies existing vulnerabilities, weakening the position of displaced communities within the urban fabric.
This paper investigates the nexus between forced displacement and water scarcity through the lens of well-being in the resettled community of Perumbakkam, Chennai, a peri-urban settlement in Tamil Nadu, India, shaped by flood-related displacement. Using qualitative approaches, the research explores how resettled residents navigate coping strategies for resource access, policy limitations, and socio-spatial transformations.
Findings reveal that while resettlement policies prioritize technical infrastructures, they often overlook critical dimensions such as disrupted livelihoods, weakened social cohesion, and socio-economic vulnerabilities. Informal networks emerge as vital channels for resource access in this highly water-stressed community, demonstrating that locally rooted, participatory approaches can strengthen social bonds and improve resource distribution.
This paper argues for reimagining resettlement as a comprehensive process that prioritizes inclusivity, well-being, and community empowerment. It advocates for bottom-up frameworks that center the voices and needs of displaced populations, thereby contributing to the growing discourse on socially and environmentally just urban development, offering scalable strategies to bridge the gap between resettlement policies and community resilience.

Adaptation to coastal environmental change: In situ resettlement to enable immobility? 

Presenter: Friedrich Neu, University of Freiburg

Abstract

The compound effects of accelerating environmental and climate change present significant challenges to river deltas, small islands and other low-lying coastal areas. Manifesting most strikingly as inundation and coastal erosion, these challenges are often accompanied by narratives of inevitable uninhabitability. Although conceived as a last-resort measure, state-led resettlement (or planned relocation) has become a prevalent policy response to reduce risk exposure. Affected communities, however, often perceive environmental risks lower than technical experts. Also, they place considerable emphasis on the social and cultural significance of their ancestral lands. Consequently, many targeted populations express a strong desire to remain in place despite severe threats, advocating for coastal protection measures instead.
This paper presents empirical research on a case of in situ adaptation to intense and prolonged coastal erosion in Ghana’s Volta Delta. The construction of six groynes to stabilize the shoreline facilitated land reclamation or raising of low-lying areas to a higher elevation. This necessitated the relocation of residents from these low-lying areas into temporal shelters and subsequent demolition of their homes for land raising to occur. Thereafter, they were permitted to return to sites near their original locations into standardized resettlement houses constructed on the newly reclaimed or elevated land, provided by government agencies as compensation for their demolished houses.
This contribution stimulates discussion on whether this costly and still rare approach of in situ resettlement – combined with land raising/reclamation and coastal protection – may offer a viable option to allow medium-term voluntary immobility at some of the world’s coasts.

Planned Relocation and Its Limits to Resilience: Exploring the Sustainability of Climate Refugee Rehabilitation Project in Bangladesh

Presenter: Ataur Rahman, Rhine Waal University of Applied Sciences

Abstract

This study examines the rehabilitation process of climate-displaced people by the government of Bangladesh, which ultimately reinforces social margination. While several studies highlight singular aspects, this study follows a multidimensional approach to analyzing project outcomes that accelerate marginalization. Qualitative by nature, the study employs two data collection methods. First, it conducts a comprehensive literature review and analyses 11 rehabilitation (Asrayan) projects across different regions as case studies. Then, for data triangulation, it interviews 17 beneficiaries from the Khurushkul project, one of the world’s largest climate victim rehabilitation centers. Using Johan Galtung’s structural violence framework, the study illustrates the gradual process of marginalization in three stages. The initial stage begins with climate- induced displacement, where victims frequently develop new survival strategies embedded in rural settings. However, rehabilitation in a top-down designed ‘barrack house’ limits their ability and restricts their access to basic rights, livelihoods, and social mobility as they enter the second stage of violence. The study further shows that instead of improving conditions by shifting from tin- shed housing to multistoried rehabilitation buildings, the rigid design only isolated social functioning. In the third stage, relocating in distant place reinforces their categorization as ‘outsider’ and intensifies their struggle to integrate into the new social and cultural structure, leading to more deepening marginalization under state-controlled programs. Ineffective and exclusionary to climate-displaced communities, yet the predominant presence of these projects shows the shortcomings of the outcome-based development paradigm embraced by one of the top- ranked disaster-prone countries.

Forced Displacement, Planned Relocation and Conflicts between Host and Resettled Communities: Unresolved Problems of Relocated Communities in Galle, Sri Lanka 20 years After the Tsunami-induced Relocation

Presenter: Nishara Fernando, Department of Sociology, University of Colombo, Sri Lanka

Abstract

Considering the deaths and disappearance of over 40,000 people and thousands more who were displaced due to the 2004 tsunami, the Sri Lankan government reimposed the 100-meter buffer zone regulation to the southern coastal belt as a disaster risk reduction strategy with the intention of protecting the lives and livelihoods of coastal community members from future tsunamis and other coastal hazards. Over 100,000 people were displaced in Galle, Sri Lanka and a majority of them were relocated into donor-built settlements. Most government lands were found in rural areas far away from the Galle city of displaced communities. Against this background, this study was carried out by interviewing persons from 288 relocated housing units in 11 relocated settlements in Akmeemana, Galle area and another 60 respondents from host community housing units situated close to the selected resettlements between 2023-2024. The study mainly examined the present relationship between host and resettled communities 20 years after relocation. It is evident from the data that host community members hold the view that they have mostly peaceful relationships with resettlers at present, reporting only some quarrels and tensions. Tensions had erupted due to the bad behavior of resettlers. For the last 20 years there was no proper solid waste management system in place. As they did not have enough garden space to bury or burn their garbage, resettlers’ dumped their garbage into empty lands owned by host community members. This was another factor for tensions between host and resettled communities other than hidden caste factor.

P7B

CRITICAL & THEORETICAL ADVANCES

Gender II

Session chaired by:

Beatriz Felipe Perez

CICrA Justicia Ambiental 

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11:00 - 12:30

Clubraum

Gendered (im)mobility impacts of forest fires in central-southern Chile

Presenter: Hanne Wiegel, Universidad de Chile

Abstract

Climate (im)mobilities, though only recently gaining public policy attention, have become integral to everyday life in rural Chile. This study examined natural resource-dependent livelihoods and (im)mobilities in the context of climate change, focusing on the impacts of intensifying droughts and forest fires on rural communities in forestry-dependent central-southern Chile. Utilising a mixed-methods approach, the study included 41 semi-structured interviews, a household survey with 411 responses, and four multi-sector focus groups, conducted in late 2024.
While forest fires tend to be mostly associated with short-term evacuation mobility, the study shows how they can also impact the (im)mobilities in the affected communities long-term, with severe and gendered consequences for individuals, households and communities. As the 2017 fires destroyed local forestry plantations, the principal employment opportunity in the study area, forestry workers started to engage in increasingly long-distance daily labour mobilities (of up to six hours per day) to southern plantations to maintain their income. The predominantly male workers report how this contributes to severe exhaustion, prevents participation in family and community life and increases household spending on transportation. At the same time, (married) women experience increasing immobilization, growing workloads as well as economic dependence, as the fires destroyed forestry-adjacent economic opportunities such as mushroom collection, while household and care responsibilities prevent their participation in daily labour mobilities. While these post-forest fire (im)mobilities significantly affect the structures of daily life in the study area, these impacts remain largely invisibilised – and unaddressed – as such ‘micromobilities’ are not considered in national mobility statistics.

Scorching Heat and Shrinking Horizons: The Impact of Rising Temperatures on Marriages and Migration in Rural India

Presenter: Manisha Mukherjee, UNU-MERIT

Abstract

The impacts of climate change can be particularly adverse for women in developing countries,
and more so due to the presence of regressive gendered customs and norms in these
countries. In this study, we provide novel evidence on how the custom of dowry shapes the
long-term impacts of climate change on women in rural India. We examine how increasing
temperatures due to climate change are influencing marriage-related female rural-rural and
rural-urban migration in India. We find that a 1 ◦C temperature increase is associated
with a 27% decline in rural-urban and a 13.6% decline in rural-rural female migration. The
declining effects are concentrated in districts in northern states of the country where dowry
customs are historically prevalent. Supporting evidence suggests that decreasing agricultural
yields from rising temperatures is an underlying mechanism, as they are reducing the
resources to finance dowry. We further find that the declines in female migration are driven
by the northern districts with poor access to credit at the baseline, as it constrains agricultural
adaptation and limits borrowing during marriage years.

Climate-Induced Migration: Gendered Dynamics of Pastoral Youth (Im)Mobility in Kenya

Presenter: Nandita Mathews, UNU-EHS

Abstract

Kenya has witnessed a notable increase in the migration rate of pastoral youth to urban centers in recent years. This movement is driven by recurring droughts, socio-economic difficulties, and environmental challenges, leading to the rapid expansion of informal settlements. Unpredictable weather patterns and livelihood instability have heightened concerns among young pastoralists, making urban migration a common coping strategy. However, migration patterns are highly gendered. While men often engage in climate-induced mobility and take up informal employment in cities, women, children, and the elderly face constraints that limit their movement. Those left behind struggle with increased workloads, food insecurity, and restricted access to resources due to socio-cultural obligations and caregiving responsibilities. This paper utilizes both qualitative and quantitative approaches to examine the dynamics, push factors and gendered impacts of climate-induced mobility of pastoral youth in Laikipia County and Nairobi, Kenya and serves as a valuable resource for researchers, policymakers, and practitioners in the field of climate (im)mobility.

A gendered perspective on environmental (im)mobility in Bangladesh

Presenter: Jan Freihardt, ETH Zurich

Abstract

The nature of the relationship between climate change and migration is complex, context specific, and often shaped by social factors such as gender. This study examines how gender influences perceptions of environmental change and decisions related to mobility or immobility. Using a mixed-methods approach, we combine qualitative data from semi-structured interviews with 34 women and original survey panel data from 1700 households living along the Jamuna River in Bangladesh, a region severely impacted by environmental change, particularly flooding and riverbank erosion. Our findings reveal that women’s roles and responsibilities within their household and communities significantly influence their perspectives on environmental migration. While migration due to environmental changes exacerbates hardships for many women, they can also lead to unanticipated opportunities. The findings highlight that impacts of both, climate change and the resulting (im)mobility, are not uniform but rather highly varied across population subgroups. Thereby, they underscore the importance of integrating a gendered lens into policy interventions addressing climate change and migration.

P7C

GOVERNANCE

Risk Assessment & Anticipatory Action

Session chaired by:

Bina Desai

United Nations Research Institute for Social Development (UNRISD) 

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11:00 - 12:30

Saal zweigeteilt (2)

Impact-based early warning for vulnerable population in camp settings in Kenya

Presenter: Lisa Thalheimer, IIASA; UNU-EHS

Abstract

The efficacy of early warning systems (EWS) in saving lives and reducing non-economic losses and damages is widely recognized. However, these systems often lack information about the potential impacts on people, assets, and systems. Impact-based early warnings (IbEW) that consider information on exposure and vulnerability could fill this gap, enabling a more effective public response and preparedness – notably for vulnerable groups disproportionately affected by extreme weather events. The increasing cost of extreme weather events and the focus on non-economic losses and damages from climate change underpins the need to advance risk knowledge, integrating vulnerability and exposure information of vulnerable groups into existing EWS. The UNDRR-funded EarlyWarning4IGAD project addresses this gap by supporting countries in the Greater Horn of Africa to transition from existing hazard-based to impact-based early warning systems. Building on desk study, expert interviews, and stakeholder consultations, we present a novel approach to IbEW for floods and droughts in Kenya by integrating data and information on exposure and vulnerability into existing hazard-based systems. One element is the co-creation of conceptual risk models with and for different vulnerable groups. This presentation focuses on people in camp settings, representing one of these vulnerable groups. In doing so, we show how such risk knowledge can be used for IbEW and ultimately integrated into existing operational flood and drought EWS tools at the regional level. In doing so, we highlight challenges and limitations for operationalization and updating data. 

A fair warning: Foregrounding mundane (im)mobilities in early warning systems for urban floods

Presenter: Maia Brons, Wageningen University & Research (WUR)

Abstract

This paper explores the value of critical mobilities theories, specifically recent conceptualisations of mundane (im)mobilities, in studying early warning systems (EWS) within the context of urban floods. EWS, which are a key component to disaster risk reduction, have traditionally been exceedingly top-down and technocentric. In response, researchers and practitioners are calling for community-centric EWS: to centre end-users in the design and dissemination of early warnings. However, although mobilities are imperative to community disaster preparedness, explicit cross-interrogations of (im)mobilities and EWS remain limited. Illustratively, the Netherlands’ EWS, whilst relatively advanced, have scarcely been scrutinised for how they might address or deepen mobility inequalities (e.g. by issuing warnings based on assumptions of able-bodiedness).

This paper attends to this gap through a case study of EWS within the context of urban floods in the Netherlands. It starts by addressing how mundane (im)mobilities, comprising habitual and incremental (im)mobility practices of the everyday, are incorporated in EWS frameworks generally. The paper then proposes a methodology based around living labs in two Dutch municipalities (Dordrecht and Geertruidenberg) to explore how flood-related EWS attend to disparate, mundane mobility needs and abilities of at-risk communities. These disparities may be physical, relating to mobility impairments or transport infrastructure provisioning, but also non-physical, for instance concerning digital literacy or language barriers for low-income migrant workers. The paper concludes that foregrounding mundane (im)mobilities, as an alternative to acute and exceptional mobility patterns that are frequently prioritised in disaster contexts, constitutes a critical step to creating EWS that are just and fair.

Agriculture resilience communication and climate migration risks prevention in the Sahel

Presenter: Bienvenue Roseline Bayili, Centre Mathieu Badolo de recherche, développement et transfert, Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso

Abstract

The Sahel is a region that the direct and indirect impacts of climate change could transform into a context marked by multiple constraints and limitations that would amplify the risks of migration and population displacement. The impacts of climate change on agriculture, the main means of subsistence for Sahelian populations, could be a key driver of population migration.An aspect of the solution to prevent these migration risks would be to integrate them into communication plans supported by agricultural resilience policies. Such an option requires specific scientific bases and decision-making tools.
Our paper presents an approach for integrating climate migration risks into agricultural resilience communication in the Sahel. It includes methods, information repositories, and a framework for integrating climate migration risks into agricultural resilience communication. The methodologies implemented include a method for mapping the determinants of migration risks linked to the impacts of climate change on agriculture, a method for target groups specifically concerned by climate migration risks and a method for identifying obstacles to the integration of migration risks into communication for the climate resilience of agriculture.
The results presented would be a relevant and efficient solution for developing scientific bases and decision-making tools for integrating migratory risks into communication plans for the resilience of agriculture to climate change.
Keywords : Sahel, agriculture, climate risks, migration, communication, prevention

P7D

CLIMATE (IM)MOBILITY IMPACTS & OUTCOMES

Mental Health & Psychosocial Impacts

Session chaired by:

Ilse Ruyssen

Ghent University

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11:00 - 12:30

Konferenzraum

Climate-Induced Human Mobility and Psychological Resilience: Unraveling the Socio-psychological Impacts of Displacement in Keta, Ghana

Presenter: Darius Saviour Ankamah, Alliance for Youth in Climate Change Action (AYCCA)

Abstract

As of 2021, over 277,589 Ghanaians have been displaced due to climate-related events, mostly floods, and sea level rise according to IOM. In 2018, the World Bank reported that climate change could displace up to 2.6 million people in Ghana by 2050. Most climate mobility studies in Ghana have indicated the psychological impacts of displacement but have not so much identified the coping mechanisms and social support systems employed by displaced populations to build resilience.

The main aim of the study is to identify coping mechanisms, support structures, and community dynamics that contribute to the psychological resilience of displaced populations over time.
Utilizing Phenomenology, this study investigates the lived experiences of displaced populations focusing on the subjective experiences of individuals. The qualitative study design involves in-depth interviews, focus groups, and participant observation to capture the nuanced experiences of displaced individuals. A sample of 100 households, purposefully selected from Keta for diverse representation, will provide comprehensive data. Content analysis, facilitated by AtlasTI software, will be employed to identify key themes and patterns.

The significance of this study lies in its potential to illuminate the often-overlooked psychological impacts of climate-induced displacement by studies in Ghana, contributing to holistic climate change adaptation systems formulation. By examining coping mechanisms and community dynamics, the study will offer insights into fostering resilience. The findings will inform the development of effective and holistic climate adaptation systems and interventions in Ghana that provide resilient human-right-based strategies and enhance the sociocultural integration of displaced populations.

Mental Health Interventions for children displaced by climate change

Presenter: Ben Butlin, Trinity College Dublin

Abstract

The mental health of children and young people represents a significant and growing challenge world-wide, with an estimated annual societal cost of 340 billion dollars. A significant proportion of this burden is carried by Low- and Middle-Income Countries (LMICs) where 90% of the world’s children and adolescents live. These areas are also most affected by climate displacement and the associated acute and enduring impacts on mental health. Over the past decade great strides have been made in the treatment of child and adolescent mental health conditions in High Income Countries (HICs), providing a strong evidence-base to underpin service development and provision for those displaced by climate hazards. Without the research and development infrastructure, well resourced, publicly available health services or societal familiarity with mental health treatments, the evidence base for mental health treatments in LMICs is far less clear. Many treatments that are offered are simply a replication of interventions provided in HICs, risking low transferability and high treatment drop-out rates. Localised contextual factors for those displaced CAYP, such as poverty, high levels of trauma, persistent threat, low clinician skill, the absence of clinic space, overburdened services, different family roles and composition suggest the need for adaptation is paramount. This chapter discusses the potential of adopting the STAIRS framework for the development and delivery of psychosocial interventions for climate displaced CAYP. We explain the suitability of STAIRS due to its grounding in ecological systems theory, suitability for delivery by generalist practitioners, and emphasis on collaboration and sustainability beyond the direct input of trainers.

Understanding the psychosocial health impacts after the 2021 flooding and displacement events in Belgium: a qualitative study

Presenter: Charlotte Scheerens, Ghent University

Abstract

Background
The extreme flooding of July 2021 severely impacted Belgium, Germany, and the Netherlands, resulting in over 200 fatalities and extensive infrastructural damage. In Belgium, the floods affected more than 200 municipalities, displacing up to 100,000 individuals. Climate change has been linked to increased mental health risks, including anxiety, stress, and post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD). While prior studies have documented mental health consequences of flooding, long-term psychological impacts remain underexplored. This study examines the psychosocial health impacts of the 2021 Belgian floods and its related displacement in the Vesder Valley.
Methods: A qualitative approach was employed, using semi-structured interviews with 24 participants, including affected citizens, healthcare professionals, civil society actors, and municipal authorities.
Results: Pre-existing vulnerabilities, such as chronic illness and mental health conditions, exacerbated psychological distress. Increased substance use, financial strain, and bureaucratic challenges hindered recovery. While community solidarity was strong initially, frustrations grew due to inadequate government support. First responders also experienced secondary trauma, with some displaying PTSD symptoms.
Conclusion: The findings highlight the need for integrating mental health support into disaster response policies, including trauma counseling and long-term services. Improved government communication, simplified insurance processes, and community-based mental health initiatives are essential for recovery. As climate-related disasters increase, proactive policies must address both immediate and long-term psychological impacts to foster resilience in affected populations. Future research should examine longitudinal effects to inform policy improvements.

Financial Stability Over Emotions? Documenting Emotional Consequences of Out Migration in the Indian Sundarbans 

Presenter: Ghurni Bhattacharya, Bielefeld University and Alma Mater Studiorum University of Bologna

Abstract

Sea level rise, high salinity intrusion during flash floods, changes in temperature and precipitation patterns along with tropical cyclones lead to shrinking economic opportunities in the Indian Sundarbans making survival difficult. The dominant livelihood strategies in Sundarbans, namely agriculture and fishing, are the worst hit. Natural resource extraction from forests and deep-sea fishing are risky, especially in the post-cyclonic phases. The eco-tourism sector is not a permanent earning resource. Lack of alternative job opportunities, lack of higher educational opportunities, and lack of accessibility hinder earning opportunities in the region. Moreover, climate change also acts as a threat multiplier. Male-centric youth, interstate out migration is on the rise as a livelihood diversification mechanism. The paper is an attempt to document the emotional consequences of labor out migration in the context of climate change from Sonaga Plot 6 with reference to emotional impacts on men who are constantly involved in circular out migration processes by combining past literature, and participant observation with informal in-depth interviews, focus group interviews, and walk-in interviews. The paper potentially tries to fill the void as these migration stories are missing in the mainstream discussions to understand how men are hiding their feelings of staying apart from the families and places of belonging, where lies its potential.

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12:30 – 14:00

Evangelischer Kirchenkreis

Lunch Break

Lunch will be served at the venue in Foyer vom Saal, with vegetarian and vegan options available.
Standing tables will be set up in Saal Zweigeteilt (1) near the balcony. You are also welcome to use any other available seating during the lunch break. Please return your dishes to the designated collection area located in Foyer vom Saal. Thank you!

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14:00 - 15:30

parallel presentation session (P8)

4 parallel sessions made up of 3 – 4 presentations.
Each panelist takes the floor for 10 minutes, followed by 40 minutes of Q&A.

P8A

CLIMATE (IM) MOBILITY DRIVERS

Quantitative Analysis of (im)mobility drivers

Session chaired by:

Lisa Thalheimer

International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA); UNU-EHS

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14:00 - 15:30

Saal zweigeteilt (1)

The effect of recurrent and concurrent climate events on migration: Evidence from Bangladesh

Presenter: Jan Freihardt, ETH Zurich

Abstract

Various studies predict large environmental migration flows due to climate change, yet the ex post empirical evidence for such migration is inconclusive. In particular, we lack robust evidence on the impact of repeated and concurrent climate events on migration. For instance, a climate event such as a flood might not lead to migration if it occurs once, but might make people move if it occurs several times in a row, or if it occurs in combination with another climate event, such as a storm. We investigate these questions relying on original survey panel data of 1537 household heads residing along the Jamuna River in Bangladesh, an area heavily affected by environmental changes. We relate respondents’ self-reported affectedness by riverbank erosion and floods in three consecutive monsoon seasons to their likelihood to migrate. We find that affectedness by erosion significantly increases the likelihood of migration. However, this effect gets weaker if households are affected repeatedly. Flooding has a negative effect, which becomes significantly stronger for repeated exposure. In terms of concurrent events, respondents who are affected severely by both flooding and erosion in the same monsoon season are more likely to migrate than those affected by only one of the two. A decline in socio-economic status after suffering repeated or concurrent impacts might lead to “trapped populations”. These findings have significant policy implications by underlining that repeated and concurrent affectedness by environmental shocks might reduce out-migration from vulnerable regions.

Livelihoods, aspirations, and climate-migration: rethinking selectivity in mobility decision-making

Presenter: Nicolás Caso, Ghent University / United Nations University Institute on Comparative Regional Integration Studies (UNU-CRIS)

Abstract

A fast-growing body of research underscores the link between climate change and human mobility, with climate hazards, such as rising temperatures and extreme weather events, shaping migration patterns within and across borders. While empirical studies have documented associations between climate shocks and migration patterns, recent scholarship calls for a more nuanced understanding of the local contexts and the mechanisms behind these responses. In particular, the pathways through which climate shocks influence migration decisions and the selectivity of those who turn to migration remain insufficiently explored.
This study addresses these gaps by analyzing a novel dataset of over 12,000 individuals, containing information on climate shocks exposure, development levels, and migration aspirations across different communities in Africa and Asia. Using structural equation mediation analysis, we examine how climate shocks—particularly droughts and floods— affect livelihoods and, in turn, shape migration aspirations. Our results provide evidence for the adverse effects of these shocks on livelihoods and confirm that this mechanism acts as a driver of migration aspirations. However, contrary to prevailing assumptions, we find that these effects are more pronounced for individuals in more affluent households and urban communities, rather than among agricultural, rural and economically disadvantaged populations.
These findings challenge widely held views from large-N cross-country studies, which have primarily emphasized agricultural income as the main pathway through which climate shocks influence migration. Prior research may have overlooked broader livelihood dynamics and the diverse ways climate shocks shape migration aspirations. By addressing these nuances, our study offers new insights into the climate-migration nexus.

Demographic and socio-economic profiles for 349 million internal displacements worldwide

Presenter: Robert Beyer, International Organization for Migration (IOM)

Abstract

Internal displacements due to conflict and disasters are a major driver of global human mobility. While the total numbers of internal displacements by cause and geographical region are increasingly well documented, a significant gap remains in the availability of disaggregated data on key variables, such as age, sex, education, livelihood for the populations impacted by these events. Data from localised case studies can provide this granularity; however, they are difficult to generalise to other displacement contexts. This lack of disaggregated profiles complicates the work of decision makers who need to allocate resources efficiently to address the diverse needs of impacted populations. Here we contribute to bridging this knowledge gap by providing harmonised global estimates of the age, sex, income, education, health, and land use of populations living in displacement sites. We derived these estimates by combining geolocated data covering ~27,000 internal displacement events between 2017 and 2024, representing a total of 349 million displacements, with gridded global maps of demographic, socio-economic, and land use variables. Our results provide a statistical baseline for the profiles of displacement-affected populations worldwide, highlighting the substantial diversity of groups impacted by different displacement causes and in different geographical regions.

Weathering the Storm: The Impact of the 2021 Drought on Migration in the Kyrgyz Republic 

Presenter: Kamalbek Karymshakov, Kyrgyz-Turkish Manas University

Abstract

Labor migration in Central Asia has been a dynamic process since the beginning of the 1990s. Apart from the labor migration tendencies, the Central Asian region is not an exception from the climate change issues. Data on the weather since the beginning of the 20th century demonstrate an increasing trend in annual temperature, and projects predict further intensification of warming in the region. Along with this, the issue of water scarcity poses challenges for solving sustainable development issues. Despite the climate change challenges and migration dynamics in the region, only a limited number of studies have explored the relationship between migration and climate change in Central Asian countries. This study empirically examines the effect of the drought of 2021 on migration in the Kyrgyz Republic. A panel dataset was created using nationally representative household survey data for the period 2019–2022 with 4240 households in each year and integrated with the satellite data on precipitation at the community level to measure the drought. Empirical estimations based on the difference-in-differences (DiD) method with fixed effects show that international migration of household members living in drought-affected locations increased during the post-shock year. Both urban and rural households demonstrated a positive migration trend. This finding suggests that policy aimed at creating resilience to the drought shock should be comprehensive and take into consideration its economy-wide effects.

P8B

CRITICAL & THEORETICAL ADVANCES

Rethinking Land & Territory

Session chaired by:

 Gemma van der Haar

Wageningen University & Research

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14:00 - 15:30

Clubraum

Sowing a New Home: Mobility of the “Territory” and Socio-Ecological Repair for War Displaced Communities in Colombia

Presenter: Alice Brites Osorio, Université de Limoges

Abstract

Armed conflicts forcibly displace entire populations, yet these migrations go beyond mere geographical transposition. In Colombia, ethnic communities (Indigenous and Afro-Colombian) conceive their “territory” not solely as a physical space but as a vital network, a fabric of human and non-human relationships. This vision is embedded in a relational ontology where coexistence between species and natural elements forms an indivisible whole.
Forced displacement does not only entail material loss but also the fragmentation of living bonds. However, when these populations are compelled to move due to war, they carry with them their knowledge, traditions, and often, quite literally, their seeds. Sowing in exile thus enables the reconstitution of a living territory and the continuation of coviability between humans and non-humans. This phenomenon extends beyond the mere preservation of traditional agricultural practices; it constitutes an active socio-ecological repair, allowing displaced individuals to rebuild a home in exile and maintain cosmovisions where nature is not a resource but a subject of rights.
This paper will examine how Colombia’s war-displaced communities redefine “home” through the continuity of agricultural and cultural practices in new spaces. It will draw on recent rulings by the Jurisdicción Especial para la Paz (JEP) recognizing the notion of “territory as a victim” and ethnographic studies of displaced communities. Far from being a mere adaptation to displacement, this territorial mobility of ancestral knowledge challenges conventional transitional justice frameworks and proposes an alternative vision of reparation, where nature plays a central role in rebuilding social and environmental ties.

Re-thinking tenure securities for people on the move

Presenter: Carolien Jacobs, Leiden University

Abstract

Tenure security is essential to realise people’s rights. But mainstream notions of tenure security rest on a (mostly implicit) ontological assumption of spatial fixation, of people relying on sedentary livelihoods. This leads to conceptual and policy limitations when considering the tenure (in)securities of people on the move; because of violent conflict or climate change, or because they are pressed by states to relocate (for development, investments, (climate) security etc). How can we re-think tenure security of people who become spatially un-settled? Tenure security is now widely regarded as “perceived”, but what do we know about perceptions of tenure security when many other aspects of people’s lives are insecure, including where they will live and for how long? How do people obtain some form of tenure security in displacement? Do they maintain or recover tenure security in the places left behind? Do they attach value and derive benefits from the lands left behind? How do they compare tenure securities in these different locations where they have different belongings? It is increasingly acknowledged that people who move, do not simply abandon their places of origin, but maintain translocal connections that bear on resource access. This paper looks into people’s multiple and fluid tenure securities in both communities of origin and in displacement, and how these securities evolve over time, drawing on empirical research in different African settings (amongst others DRC, Mozambique, and Burundi). A better understanding of the ontologies that shape tenure security for people on the move may inform land policies.

Land Allocation Governance as a Planned Relocation Strategy for Climate-Displaced Farmers in Thailand, Vietnam, and Cambodia 

Presenter: Thida Chaiyapa, Chiang Mai University School of Public Policy

Abstract

Climate change poses an escalating threat to agriculture-dependent communities in Southeast Asia, particularly in Thailand, Vietnam, and Cambodia. Extreme weather events such as floods, droughts, and sea-level rise increasingly force farmers to abandon their land, leading to displacement and economic instability. While various adaptation strategies have been implemented, a proactive and preventive approach to climate action and policy is required to reduce loss, damage, and forced displacement. This study explores land allocation governance as a planned relocation strategy for climate-displaced farmers, ensuring secure land tenure, sustainable livelihoods, and climate resilience.

By examining three case studies in mainland Southeast Asia, the research investigates how land ownership, access to resources, and policy frameworks influence the success of planned relocation efforts. The study highlights the necessity of just and sustainable land allocation mechanisms that integrate livelihood reconstruction, social integration, and climate resilience planning. The research also seeks to address policy gaps in land rights, governance, and environmental sustainability, advocating for a participatory approach that includes vulnerable communities in decision-making.

Through this research, we aim to raise awareness about the urgent need for proactive climate policies that mitigate displacement risks while fostering long-term stability for affected farmers. By aligning planned relocation strategies with sustainable land governance, the study offers critical insights into ensuring that displaced farmers not only recover but thrive in the face of climate change.

Towards a holistic understanding of climate mobility: Applying the duty to prevent transboundary harm to climate-induced displacement 

Presenter: Linn Pfitzner, European Parliament

Abstract

Legal research on climate-induced displacement (CID) has uncovered a mismatch between existing protection regimes and climate mobilities. Not only is CID frequently within state borders – pointing to the ill-suitedness of post-war protection mechanisms like the 1951 Refugee Convention –, novel legal conundrums like the erasure of Pacific island states by rising sea levels are entirely unaddressed by current mechanisms. The inability of legal regimes to account for diverse mobilities jeopardises climate justice, both from an intragenerational and intergenerational perspective. As regards the former, CID may under exceptional circumstances threaten core entitlements such as the right to life, as affirmed by the Human Rights Committee in Ioane Teitiota v New Zealand. Additionally, CID incurs intergenerational questions, where abrupt or slow-onset environmental change forces individuals or even entire peoples to abandon ancestral homelands.

The Warsaw International Mechanism’s 2024 update to the technical paper on non-economic losses (NEL) acknowledges loss of territory and habitability as drivers of climate mobility. Though facilitative in nature, this constitutes a recognition of CID as NEL by state parties to the international climate regime. In light of the 2024 update, this project expands existing legal research on CID, approaching the topic from an international environmental law perspective. It explores the applicability of states’ customary duty to prevent transboundary harm to CID as a dimension of NEL, arguing that this obligation extends to immaterial dimensions of climate harm, including CID. In doing so, this research advances a holistic vision for protection in the context of different climate mobilities.

P8C

GOVERNANCE

International governance

Session chaired by:

Sarah Haider-Nash

University for Continuing Education Krems 

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14:00 - 15:30

Saal zweigeteilt (2)

Knowledge production in the United Nations: the role of IOM and UNHCR in developing the concept of human mobility in the context of environmental and climate change between 2010 and 2021

Presenter: Giulia Mancini Pinheiro, RESAMA

Abstract

Although no unified nomenclature is widely accepted for human mobility in the context of environmental and climate change (HMECC), global stakeholders and frameworks share an understanding of its complexities, manifestations, and limitations.
This research examines the role of knowledge production in establishing dominant paradigms for complex and uncertain global issues, using the development of the HMECC concept in publications by the UN Agency for Migration (IOM) and the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) between 2010 and 2022 as a case study.
Drawing on Oliver Nay’s theory of the production of hegemonic knowledge (2014), the study analyses HMECC conceptualisation, its evolution over time, and its incorporation into global frameworks. Nay’s theory highlights the uncertainties surrounding migration governance and climate change, the mandate competition among multilateral organisations, and the integration of cross-cutting issues such as gender, youth, health, and conflict.
The findings reveal that IOM and UNHCR’s knowledge production between 2010 and 2022 followed Nay’s three-stage process. Both organisations selected aspects to emphasise or omit for political and legitimacy reasons, producing a partial understanding of the phenomenon and reinforcing calls for further research. However, the theory overlooks partnerships among international organisations and the intersection of overlapping agendas, including climate change, disaster management, humanitarian response, and desertification.
Ultimately, IOM and UNHCR’s knowledge production serves as a political tool to shape collective understandings of HMECC, influence global frameworks, and reinforce their legitimacy in a competitive international landscape.

Justice in Motion: The Climate Passport and Germany’s Moral Responsibility

Presenter: Jamila Nachid, University of Bonn

Abstract

Up to two million people from Small Island Developing States face permanent displacement due to climate change—yet no legally binding international protection exists for them. In response, the German Advisory Council on Global Change (WBGU) and the German Green Party have proposed a Climate Passport, granting environmentally displaced persons from affected islands the right to residency in safe countries. This proposal has sparked a political debate: Does Germany have a moral obligation to host environmentally displaced persons who would bear such a Climate Passport?
The intersection of climate ethics and migration ethics is still in its infancy, and current discussions often rely solely on the Polluter Pays Principle (PPP) to deduce moral responsibility. However, I argue that this is insufficient. While the PPP holds historical emitters accountable, it does not address the capacity of states to provide refuge. Germany, as both a major contributor to climate change and a state with significant financial and infrastructural means, must also be held to the Ability to Pay Principle (APP). The combination of these principles strengthens the claim that Germany has a moral obligation to host Climate Passport holders.
By critically engaging with the Climate Passport proposal in the broader context of climate mobility, this argument challenges the international community to rethink its moral obligations towards environmentally displaced persons in light of historical entanglements and the moral imperatives of climate justice. Rather than viewing climate change-induced displacement as an inevitable crisis, it urges a shift toward proactive, justice-based migration policies.

Planned Relocation as a Pathway to Climate Justice and Adaptation for Displaced Communities in Mogadishu, Somalia

Presenter: Abukar Mohamed Osman, Climate Resilience and Adaptation Network (CRAN)

Abstract

Climate-induced displacement in Mogadishu, Somalia, demands locally grounded solutions to advance climate justice. This study, conducted collaboratively by junior researchers based in Mogadishu, investigates planned relocation as a strategy for adaptation and equity. Centering community voices, the research employs participatory methods—including community-led interviews, focus group discussions, and policy analysis—to assess existing relocation programs, governance challenges, and socio-economic barriers. Findings reveal a critical lack of formal relocation frameworks, exacerbated by fragmented governance, inadequate infrastructure, and policy gaps that overlook displaced populations’ agency. Local researchers highlight how top-down approaches alienate communities, while grassroots insights emphasize the need for inclusive decision-making and infrastructure tailored to urban informal settlements. The study identifies opportunities for integrating local knowledge into policy, such as co-designing relocation plans and strengthening community-led monitoring systems. By foregrounding the experiences of displaced Somalis and the contributions of emerging local scholars, this work challenges dominant narratives in climate mobility discourse and advocates for adaptive governance rooted in equity. Aligned with ECMN’s transdisciplinary ethos, the research underscores the transformative potential of embedding local expertise in global climate adaptation strategies, offering a model for participatory action in the Global South.

P8D

CLIMATE (IM)MOBILITY IMPACTS & OUTCOMES

Migration as adaptation

Session chaired by:

Lothar Smith

Radboud University Nijmegen

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14:00 - 15:30

Konferenzraum

Rethinking ‘maladaptation’ as a creation of climate-related displacement risk: an ethnography of ‘Bamboo Wall Construction’ in Bangladesh

Presenter: Rawnak Jahan Khan Ranon, International Centre for Climate Change and Development (ICCCAD)

Abstract

During the in-situ research in Kurigram District, located in northern Bangladesh, authors encountered a riparian community that had initiated the construction of bamboo wall (locally termed as Bandal বান্ডাল) to protect themselves from displacement resulted from riverbank erosion. Learning from other villages within the same district, the villager and village leaders collectively constructed the structure along the riverbank to mitigate the flow of river water reaching their village. On our second visit after the monsoon season, we observed that the bamboo wall was entirely washed away while a large portion of land, multiple houses, and the playground of a school had further eroded.

Is the community-led initiative maladaptation? How did this contribute to displacement?

The study employees ethnography photo essay as a method to interrogates this case and to present nuanced understanding of maladaptation as a socially and politically constituted process. ‘Responsibility’ is a key theme emerged in this study; villagers and village leaders shaped collective responsibility for their displacement risk while absence of external actors to be moral and ethical responsible in guiding and assisting the initiative collectively led it boards maladaptation. Taking voices and observations of at-risk people, we claim that the examined case of displacement is related to, but not caused by, climate stimuli.

The empirical insights presented in this study contribute to shifting the discourse on climate-related displacement from ‘how to manage the risk’ to ‘how is the risk created and maintained’ in the unequal world where at-risk people struggle for navigating security.

From Rural Decline to Resilience: Environmental Migration and Adaptation Pathways in Vietnam

Presenter: Maaike van Aalst, Deltares and Vrije Universiteit

Abstract

Internal migration can serve as an effective household adaptation strategy in response to environmental changes and associated livelihood stress. However, migrating from a position of vulnerability does not inherently enhance household resilience or contribute to rural economic development. In contrast, many households experience a vicious cycle of increased vulnerability. This study explores the influence of environmental change on migration decisions and outcomes for vulnerable households in Vietnam, identifying key leverage points that either enhance resilience or exacerbate vulnerability. Employing a qualitative approach, we conducted 30 in-depth semi-structured interviews with youth migrants (ages 18-35) from the Mekong Delta in Ho Chi Minh City. We also held focus-group discussions in four coastal communes, to examine different motivations, challenges, and conditions. Applying an adaptation pathways framework, we analyse how environmental change shapes a migrants’ initial position and, consequently, the effectiveness of migration for both the migrants and rural economic development. Our findings highlight urban “lock-in” situations, where migrants face constraints preventing their return. Key factors influencing migration effectiveness include urban housing and environmental conditions, employment opportunities, and access to social services. Local adaptation pathways reveal additional leverage points related to access to finance, technology, and learning. The study emphasises the need for policies that strengthen adaptive capacities and local opportunities, thereby shifting the cycle of rural decline and vulnerable migration towards resilience and sustainable development.

Migration as adaptation? Exploring perceived success, failure, and ambivalence of migration outcomes at drying Lake Urmia, Iran

Presenter: Sebastian Transiskus, University of Augsburg / Bayern Innovativ

Abstract

Migration as a strategy for adapting to climate and environmental change has gained prominence, yet this narrative has faced growing criticism. Critics argue that it places the burden of adaptation on vulnerable populations, can result in maladaptive outcomes, and neglects immobility, as many individuals lack either the capability or aspiration to migrate. Despite increasing recognition of these complexities, gaps remain in understanding how migration is perceived as successful, maladaptive, or something in between by migrants, their families, and origin communities.

This study addresses these gaps by examining migration as adaptation in the context of environmental and climate (im)mobilities around desiccating Lake Urmia (Iran), where water scarcity and salt storms increasingly threaten rural livelihoods. Drawing on 96 in-depth interviews and eight group discussions, we assess migration outcomes from the perspectives of migrants and their communities of origin.

Findings show that worsening environmental conditions reduce rural capabilities to stay, driving high rates of rural-urban migration. While some migrants achieve economic stability, many face precarious employment and report diminished well-being. Families left behind often struggle with declining infrastructure, poor access to healthcare, and weakened social ties, compounding rural vulnerabilities.

Our research challenges simplified views of migration as an effective adaptation strategy, emphasizing its complex and often unintended consequences. By examining both migrants’ experiences and the perspectives of those who remain, this study highlights how migration outcomes are relational and deeply intertwined with broader socio-environmental change.

Adaptive Capacity, Governance, and Climate-Induced Migration in West Africa

Presenter: Haddy Jawla, WASCAL Cancelled

Abstract

Climate change is intensifying extreme weather events in West Africa, increasing the frequency of heatwaves, floods, droughts, and wildfires. These hazards disrupt livelihoods, damage infrastructure, and drive forced migration. While climate-induced migration is well recognized, the role of governance quality, infrastructure resilience, and socio-economic conditions in shaping migration patterns remains under explored. This study constructs an Adaptive Capacity Index (ACI) to quantify national resilience by integrating governance effectiveness, disaster preparedness, and access to essential services.
Governance indicators (e.g., political stability, corruption perception), climate hazard exposure, infrastructure metrics (e.g.,ICT coverage, transport accessibility), and socio-economic factors (e.g., education, disaster risk reduction capacity) were analyzed. The ACI was derived using standardized indicators (z-scores), and its relationship with migration trends was examined through panel data regression analysis with fixed effects, controlling for GDP per capita and conflict intensity.
Findings indicate that countries with weaker governance, low disaster preparedness, and inadequate infrastructure experience higher migration outflows, particularly following extreme climate events. Conversely, nations with stronger governance frameworks and resilient infrastructure—such as Cape Verde, Ghana, and The Gambia—exhibit lower migration pressures. Corruption perception and political stability emerged as the strongest predictors of migration, while poor transport infrastructure and disaster preparedness were key drivers of out-migration.
The study underscores the need for integrated policies that enhance governance, invest in early warning systems, and strengthen infrastructure to build climate-resilient societies and reduce forced migration in West Africa.
Keywords
Climate Migration, Adaptive Capacity, Governance, Disaster Risk Reduction, West Africa, Infrastructure Resilience, Climate-Induced Displacement, Drought, Flood, Heatwave, Early Warning Systems

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15:30 - 16:00

Evangelischer Kirchenkreis

Coffee Break

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16:00 – 17:30

Evangelischer Kirchenkreis

Adenauerallee 37, 53113 Bonn

Saal zweigeteilt, with additional seating in the Empore

Closing Plenary

ClimoHub Launch 

Invited Reflections on ECMN25 by:

  • Dr. Koko Warner (IOM)
  • Dr. Robert Oakes (UNU-EHS)

Open floor

Closing remarks

 

End of the Conference

 

Before you go!

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Upcoming Conferences

#ECMN26ECMN Conference 2026

The title and focus theme of the 4th ECMN conference will be annouced at a later stage. The local organizer will be the Environmental Policy Group at Wageningen University, Netherlands.

  • date to be annouced
  • Wageningen, Netherlands

#ECMN27ECMN Conference 2027

The title and focus theme of the 5th ECMN conference will be annouced at a later stage. The local organizer will be the University of Ghana in  Legon/Accra.

  • date to be annouced
  • Accra, Ghana
Environment & Climate Mobilities Network